This is a video that explains the above fully. Lately Skool site is not allowing any U Tube videos from playing, That is why I disappeared for a while. To see this video just copy the link and put it in your web browser to go see it. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fmuToQyWl5M

https://www.facebook.com/share/v/17nXXKaBGA/?mibextid=wwXIfr

So, I think most of us worried when we heard there would be negotiations instead of continued bombing. I certainly did and I think Armin did as well. Part of this is because the opposition controlled the narrative for well over half a day after the announcement. But now, I think this is probably a good thing. I will begin by stating my big concern. I want to see the US and Israel provide support from above when the Iranians come out. Because the regime still has the ability to oppress. And to kill people who come out to protest. Therefore I do not want to see any sort of peace deal that leaves the people completely without support from the US or Israel. We need to both supply them with equipment and also be ready if they come out to support them. So that is my main concern about a deal. I'm not really worried about the cease fire, but about a bad deal. Or one that is not effective at achieving regime change. The alternative was to destroy so much infrastructure that Iran essentially could not function on any level, and give the regime a choice between surrender and ruling over nothing. By contrast, we've now seen that: America is sticking to its red lines about nuclear and other conditions that Armin has repeatedly said the regime cannot agree to, at least not without totally losing its little remaining support. Witkoff even came out and said the Iranian demands are ridiculous. They should have said this right away though. The thing is that Trump likes to negotiate in secret. Which is fine in private stuff, but is not as good in politics where image matters, because it means he loses control of opinion. America is stabilizing the straight and will be in a position to keep the straight open when this falls apart in a couple of weeks. Just by talking, the regime is already fracturing and losing support. We also get to lower oil prices. Pakistan managed to make this entire thing into a hilarious clusterfuck by telling both sides different things. Why anyone thought Pakistan would be a good choice for negotiator is beyond me.

Iran will allow no more than 15 vessels a day to pass through the Strait of Hormuz under the ceasefire agreement it agreed with the United States, Russia’s state TASS news agency quotes an unnamed senior Iranian source as saying. The Strait, a strip of water only 34 kilometers (21 miles) wide between Iran and Oman, provides passage from the Gulf to the Indian Ocean and is the main route for about a fifth of world oil supplies and other vital goods including fertilizers. It has been largely shut by Iran since the start of the conflict at the end of February, leading to a surge in global oil prices.