https://youtube.com/shorts/6wt_zscZ2ik?si=gGRAPJO8aJVctU-G

History is rarely changed by a single morning. Catastrophic events usually begin years earlier, through a long sequence of decisions, assumptions, institutional habits, and strategic misconceptions that remain largely invisible until they collapse all at once. According to the arguments presented by critics of Israel's security establishment, the disaster of October 7 was not simply an intelligence failure or an operational surprise. It was the culmination of a strategic doctrine that had been developing for nearly a decade. Public debate has focused primarily on the hours before Hamas launched its attack. Questions have centered on who failed to issue warnings, who delayed military responses, and who was responsible on that specific day. Yet these questions, important as they are, do not address the deeper issue. The more fundamental question is how Israel reached a point where such an attack became possible in the first place. The argument presented by many military critics is that the roots of the failure lie in the years following Operation Protective Edge in 2014. During that period, Hamas fundamentally changed its military doctrine. Instead of concentrating on isolated kidnappings or limited cross-border raids, it gradually developed plans for a large-scale assault designed to overwhelm the Gaza Division, penetrate multiple Israeli communities simultaneously, massacre civilians, seize hostages, and temporarily seize control of Israeli territory. According to publicly reported information released after the war began, Israeli intelligence possessed documents describing versions of these operational concepts years before October 7. The issue, therefore, is not merely whether intelligence existed, but why that intelligence failed to fundamentally reshape Israeli strategic thinking. Critics argue that by this stage Israel's senior military leadership had embraced a strategic concept built upon several interconnected assumptions. Hamas was believed to be deterred. It was believed to be primarily interested in economic stability rather than war. It was believed to lack the capability to conduct a large-scale invasion. Finally, it was believed that if such a capability ever emerged, Israeli intelligence would identify it well in advance.

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