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David Zimmerman

13h •

Crypto Market Content

Market Update: BTC Dominance, and ETH Outlook 📊

Hey DeFi fam, wanted to share some key insights from today's market analysis: Macro Economic Outlook 🏭📈 We're looking at increased credit impulse and manufacturing growth ahead, driven by Treasury Secretary Bessent and President Trump's policies. The ISM (manufacturing index) is still below 50, but once it breaks above that level, expect the next leg up for the S&P 🚀 Bitcoin & Crypto Market Structure ₿ This recent SPX dip? It was necessary. This isn't a top - it's a healthy correction that Bitcoin has already front-run. We're getting very close to a trough, though expect another week or two of chop or potential further downside 📉 ETH Price Action Alert ⚠️ Ben Cowen (one of the analysts I follow closely) has been calling for: - Bitcoin dominance to push back above 60% 📊 - ETH to touch its 21-week moving average at $3,400 🎯 - That's roughly 12-13% downside from current levels 👀 The 21-week MA moves much faster than the 50 or 200-week MAs, so if we see another 1-2 weeks of downside, this target becomes increasingly likely ⏰ The System > Emotions Approach 🧠💪 Real talk: I'm responsibly long ETH and yes, dealing with drawdowns over the past 2 weeks 📉 But here's the thing: having a system removes the emotion. When you trade based on probability and systems thinking rather than feelings, drawdowns become just part of the process. No elite trader magic required - just disciplined systematic execution ⚙️ The key takeaway? Build a system that allows you to manage risk without letting emotions drive your decisions. Poor emotional decisions are what blow up accounts 💥 What's your take on the ETH 21-week MA touch? Are you positioned for more BTC dominance or betting on an alt rotation? 🤔 Drop your thoughts below 👇

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David Zimmerman

5d •

Crypto Market Content

🚨 Week Ahead Analysis - Extreme Conditions Ahead 🚨

Quick Summary 📋 Markets are painting warning signs in neon, but the Fed tailwind keeps us flying. Here's what you need to know for the week ahead and September close. 🔥 THE CURRENT SETUP: Retail Mania Meets Wall Street Reality We're witnessing something special (and potentially dangerous) right now: 🎯 Retail Army on Fire: → 10 straight green days with +13% gains in retail favorites → Largest weekly retail inflows since December 2024 → Morgan Stanley says "Retail Army still has much more fire power" 🚀 ⚠️ Technical Alarm Bells: → S&P 500 RSI near 70 (extreme overbought territory) → TMT momentum basket RSI at 85 (highest in 5-10 years!) 🔴 → SPX has been above RSI 45 for 102 days straight - historically, markets were ALWAYS lower 2 weeks later 📊 WHAT THE SMART MONEY IS SAYING Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley & BofA are all flashing the same signals: ✅ The Good News: → Fed cutting cycle = historically bullish (median +8% in 6 months, +15% in 12 months) 📈 → Tech (+22%) and Consumer Discretionary (+18%) are the historical winners → Liquidity is dominating fundamentals right now 💧 🚨 The Warning Signs: → AI positioning crowding at "9 out of 10" levels → Leverage at 100th percentile (highest in years) 📊 → 87% of global indices above moving averages (BofA's sell signal triggers at >88%) → Strong parallels to 2000 dot-com bubble conditions 🫧 🎯 SECTOR WINNERS & LOSERS 🚀 EXPANDING (Where to focus): → Technology & AI (the obvious winner) 🤖 → Healthcare & Services 🏥 → Defense & Security 🛡️ ⛔ UNDER STRESS (Avoid for now): → Freight & Transportation 🚛 → Automotive 🚗 → Housing & Chemicals 🏠 → Anything cyclical and rate-sensitive 📅 WEEK AHEAD CATALYSTS (Sept 22 Focus) Key Dates to Watch: → TODAY (Sept 22): "Sell Rosh Hashanah" seasonal pattern begins 🗓️ → Oct 1: Yom Kippur (historical turning point) → October: Most volatile month historically (but institutions selling options to suppress vol) What Could Trigger Moves: → Post-options expiry reversions

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Jul 11 •

Hello everyone and welcome. As we begin building out DeFi University together, please know that any ideas you may have for a new tool, a new live call, a new course, anything that you'd like to build or incorporate in to add more value for us, the community members, that is 100% a yes here. This community is AI first, which simply means that we learn together how to use AI tools to build what will generate more value for us, the community members. We hope to foster an environment of learning and growth in many different areas of life within our DeFi University community, and now with these new AI tools any suggestion that any member has which will add value can quickly be built out and incorporated in. It's a very exciting and transformative time that we live in. To foster a sense of community spirit, please introduce yourself in the general chat as you join, and share a bit about yourself so that we can all get to know one another better. Live calls in the community take place every day Monday through Friday and they are open to all members. See you on the next live call and in the DeFi U chats! -David

New comment 10d ago

Defi Don

7m •

Crypto Market Content

Goldilocks scenario ? whats that ??

Based on today's economic data releases, here are the key market data points that were released today (September 26, 2025): Personal Income (Month-over-Month) Personal income increased 0.4% for the month, which was 0.1 percentage point above estimates. This is a positive sign for the economy. Other Major Data Points Released Today: 1. PCE Inflation (Core): The core PCE price level was 2.9% on an annual basis after rising 0.2% for the month - this was in line with expectations. 2. Headline PCE Inflation: The personal consumption expenditures price index posted a 0.3% gain for the month, putting the annual headline inflation rate at 2.7%. 3. Personal Consumption Expenditures: Personal consumption expenditures accelerated at a 0.6% pace, which was also 0.1 percentage point above estimates. Assessment - Good or Bad: This data is generally positive for the economy: Personal income growth beating expectations suggests healthy wage growth and consumer financial health Consumer spending exceeding forecasts indicates economic resilience and consumer confidence Inflation remaining stable at expected levels means the Fed's policies are working without derailing growth All of the numbers were in line with the Dow Jones consensus forecast, showing economic predictability The data supports the Fed's current monetary policy path, as the readings are unlikely to change course for policymakers who last week indicated they see two more quarter percentage point reductions before the end of the year. Overall, this represents a "Goldilocks" scenario - growth without runaway inflation. GOLDILOCKS !! "Just Right" Economic Growth: The economy is growing at a steady, sustainable pace Not growing so fast that it causes overheating and inflation Not growing so slowly that it leads to recession or high unemployment "Just Right" Inflation: Inflation is moderate and predictable (around the Fed's 2% target) Not so high that it erodes purchasing power and requires aggressive rate hikes