Quick observation from the charts: Bitcoin and IGV (iShares Expanded Tech-Software ETF) have been moving in near-lockstep since 2023.
What we're seeing:
- Both assets rallied hard through 2024, peaking around the same time
- The recent pullback? Nearly identical trajectory
- BTC currently at ~$69.9k, IGV at $82.46 - both down from recent highs
Why this matters: This tight correlation tells us Bitcoin is still trading as a risk-on tech asset, not the "digital gold" narrative many hoped for. When software stocks sneeze, BTC catches a cold.
For DeFi investors:
- Macro tech sentiment matters MORE than you think
- Fed policy, tech earnings, and Nasdaq movements should be on your radar
- Diversification within crypto alone isn't true diversification if you're ignoring the tech correlation
The days of "BTC is uncorrelated" are behind us. We're in the institutional era now - which means macro matters.
What are you watching to gauge risk sentiment? Drop your thoughts below. 👇
Not financial advice. Chart analysis for educational purposes.