Is War With Iran Coming? Here Are The Facts
First of all, Satellite images from late January and early February show visible work at many of the Iranian sites hit during last year’s strikes — especially missile-related facilities. Meanwhile, Iran’s big nuclear sites (Natanz, Isfahan, Fordow) still look largely inoperative, but they’re doing something very telling: putting new roofs and cover on damaged buildings. That’s not “recovery.” That’s concealment. When a regime starts hiding the work, it’s because it doesn’t want eyes on it.
At the same time, the U.S. and Iran just held talks in Oman. President Trump said the talks were “very good,” warned the consequences would be steep if Iran won’t deal, and said there will be another meeting early next week. Iran’s foreign minister called it a “good start”, but also made it clear they won’t accept “zero enrichment of uranium,” and they refuse to discuss missiles.
So here’s the real question you asked me in messages all week:
Are we headed for war with Iran?
Nobody can promise you a date on a calendar. But we can read the signals and talk like adults.
What the satellite photos suggest
Iran is rushing to restore what it can use quickly: ballistic missiles. Why? Because missiles are the regime’s favorite tool for pressure and revenge. If Tehran thinks it might get hit again, it wants to be able to strike Israel and U.S. assets fast. That’s basic strategy.
The nuclear side is slower and riskier for them right now. It draws international heat and invites another strike. So they do the next best thing: stabilize, rebuild cover, move things underground, and buy time.
What the Oman talks really mean
Diplomacy can be good if it forces real limits, real inspections, and real consequences. But Iran has a long history of using talks as a shield: negotiate, stall, demand “respect,” and keep building behind closed doors.
Iran is not coming to the table because it “found peace.” It’s coming because it’s under pressure. The regime is weak at home: protests, economic trouble, fear. Weak regimes don’t suddenly become nicer. They become more desperate.
So… war or no war?
Here are the most likely paths from where we stand today:
1) A hard deal that actually blocks a bombIt requires Iran to accept real limits and inspections, not polite promises. If Trump gets a deal that truly shuts down a path to a nuclear weapon, that could reduce the chance of war. But it has to be real. Not another paper trick.
2) “Talks continue” while Iran rebuildsThis is the danger zone. Meetings keep happening, headlines say “progress,” and Iran keeps repairing missiles and hiding nuclear work. This path doesn’t guarantee war tomorrow — but it makes a bigger war more likely later, because the bill always comes due.
3) A trigger eventWar often starts from a spark: a proxy attack, a missile launch, a strike on shipping, a miscalculation. When everyone is tense, one move can light the match.
I believe that if Iran refuses real limits (for now it does refuse limits on uranium and said ballistic missiles are off limits), and keeps rebuilding under cover, conflict becomes more likely, not because Israel wants war, but because Israel refuses to live under a nuclear gun aimed at her head.
And I’m going to say something that might offend the comfortable people:The world’s obsession with “de-escalation” usually means one thing - Jews are expected to accept danger quietly so diplomats can feel proud of themselves.
Not this time.
Israel has learned, in blood and tears, what “we’ll deal with it later” really means. Later gets people killed. Later means funerals. Later means missiles over homes.
So what should we do?
Pray, seriously pray, for protection and for wise leadership in Jerusalem and Washington.And remember: the God of Israel does not sleep. But He also tells us to watch.
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Joseph Dabby
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Is War With Iran Coming? Here Are The Facts
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