The stock market relies on a certain cycle
1. Smart money (insiders / hedge funds / VC) moves in first
2. Okay-Smart money (mutual funds / fundamental analysts) moves in next
3. Okay money (pattern / technical analysts ) moves in as well
4. Dumb money (unable to evaluate an investment, retail investors who relies on news) moves in last.
I am not a big fan of the naming "dumb" money because retail investors like me and you are not dumb. But simply we do not have access to certain information as quickly as those insiders.
We do not have micro second reaction speeds like the quant funds.
Everyone makes money most of the time until we run out of #4 Dumb money
Right now, we see that on social media - everyone is making money.
So who is left to buy?
Who is left to continuously bid this market higher?
Once we run out of dumb money, investors (1,2,3) will pull out and we start this game anew.
In other words, a correction is coming.
Cheers,
Eric
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Eric Seto
Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA)
Chartered Investment Manager (CIM)
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