Live since March 29, 2026. Every signal logged from Day 1. Nothing deleted. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ CURRENT RECORD ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✅ Wins: 20 ❌ Losses: 8 ⏳ Pending: 11 📊 Win Rate: 71.4% 🔢 Total Signals: 39 🔒 Status: VALIDATED 📅 Live Since: March 29, 2026 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ BREAKDOWN BY TYPE ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ML Signals: 17W / 6L — 73.9% win rate Crash Detection: 2W / 2L — 50.0% win rate Combined: 1W / 0L — 100% win rate ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ TODAY'S ACTIVE PENDING SIGNALS — ALL BET NO ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1. Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets (Apr 4–6)? 2. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 37.5¢ → Bet NO 3. polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-april-4-april-6 4. Will FC Metz win on Apr 5? 5. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 31.5¢ → Bet NO 6. polymarket.com/event/fl1-met-nan-2026-04-05 7. Will Torino FC win on Apr 5? 8. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 38.5¢ → Bet NO 9. polymarket.com/event/sea-pis-tor-2026-04-05 10. Will Deportivo Alavés win on Apr 5? 11. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 36.5¢ → Bet NO 12. polymarket.com/event/lal-ala-osa-2026-04-05 13. Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats? 14. Platform: Polymarket | Type: Crash | → Bet NO 15. polymarket.com/event/hungary-election-fidesz-kdnp-wins-seats 16. Will Super Mario Galaxy Movie OW be $190M–$200M? 17. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 32.1¢ → Bet NO 18. polymarket.com/event/the-super-mario-galaxy-movie-opening-weekend-box-office 19. Will Super Mario Galaxy Movie OW be $180M–$190M? 20. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 36.7¢ → Bet NO 21. polymarket.com/event/the-super-mario-galaxy-movie-opening-weekend-box-office 22. Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? 23. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 34.5¢ → Bet NO 24. polymarket.com/event/2026-ncaa-tournament-winner 25. DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? 26. Platform: Polymarket | Type: Crash | → Bet NO 27. polymarket.com/event/deepseek-v4-released-by-march-31 28. Will Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 3? [PENDING RESOLUTION] 29. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 35.5¢ → Bet NO 30. Will CA Barracas Central win on Apr 2? [PENDING RESOLUTION] 31. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 37.5¢ → Bet NO

EdgeFinder tracks 6 prediction market platforms. Each one is different. Here's how to think about them. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ THE PLATFORMS 🔵 POLYMARKET The largest by volume. USDC-settled. US traders restricted. Most liquid for sports, politics, and macro. This is where most EdgeFinder signals resolve. 🟡 KALSHI US-regulated and legal for American traders. Lower liquidity than Polymarket but growing fast. Good for economic data markets (CPI, jobs, Fed). 🟣 MANIFOLD Play-money platform. Great for testing thesis before deploying real capital. No financial risk — pure signal quality testing. 🟢 METACULUS Aggregated forecasting. Community-driven. No direct trading, but excellent for calibrating your probability thinking. ⚫ PREDICTIT US-regulated. Focused on political markets. 10% fee on profits. Higher cost of edge. Best used selectively. 🔴 AZURO On-chain sports betting markets. Decentralised. Higher variance, higher upside. Emerging liquidity. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ THE EDGE QUESTION The question isn't "which platform is best" — it's "where does my edge translate?" EdgeFinder's NO-side ML model currently runs primarily on Polymarket. The crowd-overpricing of YES applies wherever long-shot bias exists — which is everywhere. Different fee structures and liquidity mean the same signal has different expected value on each platform. The EdgeFinder Foundation course covers this in detail. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Learn more in The EdgeFinder Foundation course — Classroom tab above.

Live signals from the EdgeFinder ML model — April 5, 2026. All signals are bet NO. We fade YES when the crowd is overpricing an outcome. That's the edge. PENDING SIGNALS — ALL BET NO 1. Will "Super Mario Galaxy Movie" OW Box Office be $190M-$200M? 2. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 32.1¢ → Bet NO 3. polymarket.com/event/the-super-mario-galaxy-movie-opening-weekend-box-office 4. Will Racing Club de Lens win on April 4? 5. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 38.5¢ → Bet NO 6. polymarket.com/event/fl1-lil-rcl-2026-04-04 7. Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on April 4? 8. Platform: Polymarket | Type: Crash | YES: ~0¢ → Bet NO 9. polymarket.com/event/es2-leo-vld-2026-04-04 10. DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? 11. Platform: Polymarket | Type: Crash | YES: ~0¢ → Bet NO 12. polymarket.com/event/deepseek-v4-released-by-march-31 13. Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on April 4? 14. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 30.5¢ → Bet NO 15. polymarket.com/event/lal-mad-bar-2026-04-04 16. Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on April 4? 17. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 34.5¢ → Bet NO 18. polymarket.com/event/bun-stu-dor-2026-04-04 19. Will "Super Mario Galaxy Movie" OW Box Office be $180M-$190M? 20. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 36.7¢ → Bet NO 21. polymarket.com/event/the-super-mario-galaxy-movie-opening-weekend-box-office 22. Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? 23. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 34.5¢ → Bet NO 24. polymarket.com/event/2026-ncaa-tournament-winner

Live since March 29, 2026. Every signal logged before resolution. Nothing deleted. CURRENT RECORD Wins: 14 | Losses: 2 | Pending: 9 | Win Rate: 87.5% | Total: 25 signals | Status: VALIDATED BREAKDOWN BY TYPE ML Signals: 12W / 2L (85.7%) | Crash Detection: 1W / 0L (100%) | Combined: 1W / 0L (100%) TODAY'S ACTIVE PENDING SIGNALS — BET NO ON ALL 1. Elon Musk 115-139 tweets Apr 2-4 | YES: 35.5c | ML | polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-april-2-april-4 2. 2. Super Mario Galaxy Movie OW $180-190M | YES: 36.7c | ML | polymarket.com/event/the-super-mario-galaxy-movie-opening-weekend-box-office 3. 3. Michigan win 2026 NCAA Tournament | YES: 34.5c | ML | polymarket.com/event/2026-ncaa-tournament-winner 4. 4. Bitcoin above $68K on April 3 | YES: 35.5c | ML | polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-april-3 5. 5. Elon Musk 260-279 tweets Mar 27-Apr 3 | YES: 38.5c | ML | polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-march-27-april-3 6. 6. Trump approval rating 39.5-39.9 on Apr 3 | YES: 33.0c | ML | polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-april-3 7. 7. Houthi strike on Israel by Apr 15 | YES: 38.5c | ML | polymarket.com/event/houthi-strike-on-israel-by-632 8. 8. Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March | YES: 33.5c | ML | polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-talk-to-in-march RECENT WINS (NO side) CA Barracas Central (Apr 2) | Newcastle United Jets FC (Apr 2) | Bitcoin above $68K Apr 2 | Elon Musk 240-259 tweets Mar 27-Apr 3 | BitBoy convicted (Combined) | Bitcoin above $68K Mar 31 | Sergey Brin 3rd richest Mar 31 | S&P 500 hit $6,300 low in March | Bitcoin above $68K Mar 30 | Donald Trump Truth Social posts Mar 24-31 | Bitcoin above $68K Mar 30 (day 2)