6d • 🎓 Education
🎓 Tuesday: Platform Comparison Guide
EdgeFinder tracks 6 prediction market platforms. Each one is different. Here's how to think about them.
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THE PLATFORMS
🔵 POLYMARKET
The largest by volume. USDC-settled. US traders restricted. Most liquid for sports, politics, and macro. This is where most EdgeFinder signals resolve.
🟡 KALSHI
US-regulated and legal for American traders. Lower liquidity than Polymarket but growing fast. Good for economic data markets (CPI, jobs, Fed).
🟣 MANIFOLD
Play-money platform. Great for testing thesis before deploying real capital. No financial risk — pure signal quality testing.
🟢 METACULUS
Aggregated forecasting. Community-driven. No direct trading, but excellent for calibrating your probability thinking.
⚫ PREDICTIT
US-regulated. Focused on political markets. 10% fee on profits. Higher cost of edge. Best used selectively.
🔴 AZURO
On-chain sports betting markets. Decentralised. Higher variance, higher upside. Emerging liquidity.
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THE EDGE QUESTION
The question isn't "which platform is best" — it's "where does my edge translate?"
EdgeFinder's NO-side ML model currently runs primarily on Polymarket. The crowd-overpricing of YES applies wherever long-shot bias exists — which is everywhere.
Different fee structures and liquidity mean the same signal has different expected value on each platform. The EdgeFinder Foundation course covers this in detail.
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Learn more in The EdgeFinder Foundation course — Classroom tab above.
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🎓 Tuesday: Platform Comparison Guide
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