Sunday is the best day to step back and read the market landscape — not individual signals, but the overall structure of what's moving and why. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ THIS WEEK'S MARKET LANDSCAPE (April 7-13, 2026) The past week validated a core EdgeFinder thesis: sports markets continue to be the most consistent source of NO-side edge. With 12+ signals resolved as wins across soccer (EPL, La Liga, Eredivisie, MLS) and political/crypto markets, the ML model is identifying YES overpricing across multiple verticals. Key observations this week: 1. CRYPTO MARKETS: Bitcoin markets are running with inflated YES prices on price-level predictions. The market routinely overestimates upside probability on short timeframes. Two Bitcoin signals hit as NO wins this week. 2. SOCCER: Favorites are consistently overpriced. Markets overprice team win probabilities by 5-15 percentage points in many cases. Our ML model detected this edge across EPL, La Liga, Eredivisie, and Argentine Primera División matches. 3. POLITICAL MARKETS: The Iran ceasefire signal (32.5¢ YES) and Hormuz transit signal (30.3¢ YES) represent lower-confidence plays but follow the same pattern — YES is structurally expensive. 4. SOCIAL MEDIA: Elon Musk tweet volume markets continue to show YES overpricing on specific tweet count ranges. Two consecutive wins this week. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ WHAT TO WATCH THIS WEEK Active pending signals: 4 markets still unresolved. Watch for resolution on: - Levante UD match (Apr 13) - - Bitcoin $72k threshold (Apr 13) - - US/Iran ceasefire announcement (by Apr 14) - - Hormuz ship transit count (Apr 6-12 window) Track Record stands at 21W / 6L / 12 pending — 77.8% win rate through Day 15. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Learn more in The EdgeFinder Foundation course — Classroom tab above.

Live signals from the EdgeFinder ML model — April 13, 2026. All signals are bet NO. We fade YES when the model detects overpricing. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ TODAY'S PENDING SIGNALS (Bet NO on all) 1. Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13? 2. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML 3. YES Price: 36.5¢ → Bet NO 4. https://polymarket.com/event/lal-lev-get-2026-04-13 5. Will Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13? 6. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML 7. YES Price: 30.0¢ → Bet NO 8. https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-april-13 9. Will Trump announce US x Iran ceasefire broken by Apr 14? 10. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML 11. YES Price: 32.5¢ → Bet NO 12. https://polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-broken-by 13. Will 40-49 ships transit Strait of Hormuz (Apr 6-12)? 14. Platform: Polymarket | Type: Crash Detection 15. YES Price: 30.3¢ → Bet NO 16. https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-apr-6-12 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ All signals are bet NO. Win rate to date: 77.8% across 39 signals (21W / 6L / 12 pending). Not financial advice. DYOR.

Live since March 29, 2026. Every signal logged before resolution. Nothing deleted. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ CURRENT RECORD — DAY 15 Wins: 21 Losses: 6 Pending: 12 Win Rate: 77.8% Total Signals: 39 Status: VALIDATED ✅ ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ BREAKDOWN BY TYPE ML Signals: 19W / 5L — 79.2% win rate Crash Detection: 2W / 1L — 66.7% win rate Combined: 0W / 0L — N/A ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ TODAY'S ACTIVE PENDING SIGNALS (Bet NO) 1. Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13? 2. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 36.5¢ 3. → https://polymarket.com/event/lal-lev-get-2026-04-13 4. Will Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13? 5. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 30.0¢ 6. → https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-april-13 7. Will Trump announce US x Iran ceasefire broken by April 14? 8. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 32.5¢ 9. → https://polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-broken-by 10. Will 40-49 ships transit Strait of Hormuz (Apr 6-12)? 11. Platform: Polymarket | Type: Crash Detection | YES: 30.3¢ 12. → https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-apr-6-12 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ RECENT WINS ✅ Racing Club win — NO hit (Apr 12) ✅ Newcastle United win — NO hit (Apr 12) ✅ Mallorca/Rayo draw — NO hit (Apr 12) ✅ Tottenham win — NO hit (Apr 12) ✅ Fortuna Sittard win — NO hit (Apr 12) ✅ Bitcoin > $72k Apr 12 — NO hit ✅ Bitcoin > $74k Apr 12 — NO hit ✅ Elon Musk tweets Apr 11-13 (40-64 range) — NO hit ✅ Elon Musk tweets Apr 7-14 (240-259 range) — NO hit ✅ CA Boca Juniors win — NO hit (Apr 11) ✅ Aston Villa win — NO hit (Apr 12) ✅ Austin FC win — NO hit (Apr 11) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

Live signals from the EdgeFinder ML model — April 5, 2026. All signals are bet NO. We fade YES when the crowd is overpricing an outcome. That's the edge. PENDING SIGNALS — ALL BET NO 1. Will "Super Mario Galaxy Movie" OW Box Office be $190M-$200M? 2. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 32.1¢ → Bet NO 3. polymarket.com/event/the-super-mario-galaxy-movie-opening-weekend-box-office 4. Will Racing Club de Lens win on April 4? 5. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 38.5¢ → Bet NO 6. polymarket.com/event/fl1-lil-rcl-2026-04-04 7. Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on April 4? 8. Platform: Polymarket | Type: Crash | YES: ~0¢ → Bet NO 9. polymarket.com/event/es2-leo-vld-2026-04-04 10. DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? 11. Platform: Polymarket | Type: Crash | YES: ~0¢ → Bet NO 12. polymarket.com/event/deepseek-v4-released-by-march-31 13. Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on April 4? 14. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 30.5¢ → Bet NO 15. polymarket.com/event/lal-mad-bar-2026-04-04 16. Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on April 4? 17. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 34.5¢ → Bet NO 18. polymarket.com/event/bun-stu-dor-2026-04-04 19. Will "Super Mario Galaxy Movie" OW Box Office be $180M-$190M? 20. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 36.7¢ → Bet NO 21. polymarket.com/event/the-super-mario-galaxy-movie-opening-weekend-box-office 22. Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? 23. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 34.5¢ → Bet NO 24. polymarket.com/event/2026-ncaa-tournament-winner

Live since March 29, 2026. Every signal logged from Day 1. Nothing deleted. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ CURRENT RECORD ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✅ Wins: 20 ❌ Losses: 8 ⏳ Pending: 11 📊 Win Rate: 71.4% 🔢 Total Signals: 39 🔒 Status: VALIDATED 📅 Live Since: March 29, 2026 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ BREAKDOWN BY TYPE ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ML Signals: 17W / 6L — 73.9% win rate Crash Detection: 2W / 2L — 50.0% win rate Combined: 1W / 0L — 100% win rate ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ TODAY'S ACTIVE PENDING SIGNALS — ALL BET NO ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1. Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets (Apr 4–6)? 2. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 37.5¢ → Bet NO 3. polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-april-4-april-6 4. Will FC Metz win on Apr 5? 5. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 31.5¢ → Bet NO 6. polymarket.com/event/fl1-met-nan-2026-04-05 7. Will Torino FC win on Apr 5? 8. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 38.5¢ → Bet NO 9. polymarket.com/event/sea-pis-tor-2026-04-05 10. Will Deportivo Alavés win on Apr 5? 11. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 36.5¢ → Bet NO 12. polymarket.com/event/lal-ala-osa-2026-04-05 13. Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats? 14. Platform: Polymarket | Type: Crash | → Bet NO 15. polymarket.com/event/hungary-election-fidesz-kdnp-wins-seats 16. Will Super Mario Galaxy Movie OW be $190M–$200M? 17. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 32.1¢ → Bet NO 18. polymarket.com/event/the-super-mario-galaxy-movie-opening-weekend-box-office 19. Will Super Mario Galaxy Movie OW be $180M–$190M? 20. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 36.7¢ → Bet NO 21. polymarket.com/event/the-super-mario-galaxy-movie-opening-weekend-box-office 22. Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? 23. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 34.5¢ → Bet NO 24. polymarket.com/event/2026-ncaa-tournament-winner 25. DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? 26. Platform: Polymarket | Type: Crash | → Bet NO 27. polymarket.com/event/deepseek-v4-released-by-march-31 28. Will Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 3? [PENDING RESOLUTION] 29. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 35.5¢ → Bet NO 30. Will CA Barracas Central win on Apr 2? [PENDING RESOLUTION] 31. Platform: Polymarket | Type: ML | YES: 37.5¢ → Bet NO