Curious if this theory makes sense: · Liberty Politics Discussion

Curious if this theory makes sense:

Iran’s two biggest pieces of leverage right now seem to be:

The Strait of Hormuz
Its ability to threaten Gulf desalination/water infrastructure

My read is that Iran is currently using mines, drones, and maritime harassment to control the Strait of Hormuz. If the MOU gets Iran to remove the mines and reopen the strait, that may not just be a concession to Iran. It may actually give the U.S. and allies more room to operate going forward.

My question is this: do we now have enough sonar, ISR, satellite, drone, and maritime surveillance capability to prevent Iran from quietly re-mining the Strait later?

If yes, then maybe the MOU is not simply “Iran gets the Strait reopened.” Maybe it is “Iran gives up its current mine leverage, and once the Strait is cleared, the U.S. has a better operating picture and more freedom to stop Iran from recreating that threat.”

Does that theory make sense, or am I overestimating our mine-detection / ISR capabilities in the Strait?

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Curious if this theory makes sense: