Charlie Munger on the ability to handle volatility
When people invest long term, it is inevitable that they will deal with volatility. Volatility is such an abstract concept - so let me make it real for you It means your portfolio will go down by 50% Here's what Charlie Munger said: “I think it’s in the nature of long-term shareholding that the normal vicissitudes in markets means that the long-term holder has the quoted value of his stocks go down by, say, 50%,” Is Charlie worried at all? “Zero,” he said. “This is the third time that Warren and I have seen our holdings in Berkshire Hathaway go down, top tick to bottom tick, by 50%.” Even if you are not planning to stock pick like Warren and Charlie, it pays to know that S&P 500 largest drawdown can be 34% to55% "The Great Depression saw an 86% decline, the Dot-Com Bubble burst a 49% drop, and the Global Financial Crisis a 55% loss. The COVID-19 crash in 2020 saw a 34% drop in just weeks." If you plan to use leverage to improve your results, you must stomach such volatility (your portfolio going up and down). One alternative that I find very helpful is to build up a cash reserve to invest. Another alternative I find very helpful is to learn how to short the market such that even when the market is going down - you can make money. For example, while S&P 500 is down significantly in April (-5.6%) My portfolio for long term using leverage is +31% this month (mainly because I shorted a few times this month) There is still quite a bit of uncertainty in the remaining weeks of April but that's where I stand for now Cheers, Eric ------ Eric Seto Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA) Chartered Investment Manager (CIM) Founder of 5MinInvesting.com In April, my goal is to help 5 people without a financial background to master investing through Investing Accelerator. Investing Accelerator is designed for people without a financial background. The goal is to achieve 30% return per year. In the first phase, you will learn long term investing and targeting 30% for tax free compound growth. This will help accelerate your overall wealth.