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DeFi University

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AI Money Lab

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2 contributions to DeFi University
🔥 Yield Curve Trading is Coming to DeFi - Here's What You Need to Know
Hey fam! 👋 Just dove deep into something that's about to change how we think about on-chain lending markets. Traditional finance has been using yield curve strategies for decades, but now we're finally seeing this sophistication come to DeFi. 📈 What's a Yield Curve? 🤔 In TradFi, the yield curve shows interest rates across different time periods (think 1-month vs 10-year Treasury bonds 🏦). In DeFi, we're talking about lending rates across different maturity periods on protocols like Morpho, Aave, and emerging fixed-rate platforms. Why This Matters for Us: 💡 Right now, most DeFi lending is variable rate - you never really know what your returns will be tomorrow 🎲. Yield curve trading opens up strategies that let you: - Lock in rates 🔒 across different time horizons - Arbitrage ⚡ between short and long-term rates - Hedge 🛡️ your positions more effectively - Speculate 📊 on rate changes without pure directional bets The On-Chain Opportunity: 🚀 The cool part? DeFi's composability means we can execute these strategies 24/7 with instant settlement ⚡. No waiting for bond markets to open. No dealing with brokers. Just smart contracts. 🤖 Some protocols are already building infrastructure for this: - Fixed-rate lending protocols 💰 - Interest rate swap platforms 🔄 - Yield tokenization (splitting principal from yield) 🪙 The Bottom Line: 💎 This is one of those moments where DeFi stops being "experimental" and starts adopting real institutional-grade strategies 🏛️. If you're serious about maximizing returns in this space, understanding yield curve dynamics is about to become essential alpha. 🧠✨ Who's already experimenting with fixed-rate protocols? Drop your experiences below 👇
🔥 Yield Curve Trading is Coming to DeFi - Here's What You Need to Know
0 likes • 7d
Henlo David! Is this nob spread not what that 1 hedge fund in the 90's did initially before they blew up in year 4 or 5? Long term capital, might have been treasury yield curve arbitrage, the different treasury bills that was the same. Have to go refresh my memory. excited for onchain though. going through all these resources thanks!
🚀 The On-Chain NOB Spread is HERE (And What It Means for DeFi)
Hey everyone, Just finished an intensive deep dive into something that's absolutely game-changing for DeFi traders: the convergence of TradFi and DeFi is happening right now, and the tools we need to trade like Wall Street are finally available on-chain. 💡 What's the NOB Trade? The NOB spread (Notes Over Bonds) is a classic Wall Street trade that bets on the relationship between 10-year Treasury notes and 30-year Treasury bonds. Instead of betting on whether rates go up or down, you're betting on HOW the yield curve moves. Here's the thesis: If you believe (like I do) that the yield curve is going to steepen—meaning long-end rates will rise faster than short-end rates—you can express that view through the NOB spread. 🔥 Why This Matters NOW Let me break down the macro picture: The Transfer Payment Problem California (and many other states) are functionally insolvent. They're heavily dependent on federal transfer payments to fund basic social services. These payments cannot stop without triggering state-level collapses. The chain reaction: 1. Transfer payments can't stop 2. Federal government must keep borrowing 3. Fiscal deficit cannot shrink (it's structurally impossible) 4. Borrowing must accelerate 5. Rates have to go up This isn't speculation—it's mechanical. Unless we see a massive AI-driven economic boom, the deficit continues growing and long-end rates will move higher, faster than short-end rates. ⚙️ The On-Chain Reality Good news: The infrastructure for on-chain NOB trades exists TODAY. You can buy and hold tokenized U.S. Treasury assets right now. Bad news (for now): I couldn't find any money market or perp DEX where you can get SHORT Treasury tokens. Once this becomes available, we can fully execute the yield curve trade on-chain. What's Coming: Cross-Margining The next evolution is cross-margining—imagine depositing your BEF token (or any yield-bearing asset) directly onto a platform like HyperLiquid and using it as collateral for your TLT short. This would make these trades as capital-efficient as what you see on Wall Street.
🚀 The On-Chain NOB Spread is HERE (And What It Means for DeFi)
2 likes • 7d
henlo David! my first post I'm reading and you got me 1 intrigued NOB here haha. I've used Ostium for few months now already, but new to the Nob. It's the kinda mechanics I'm very interested in tho. Thanks for sharing all this info with us, much appreciated! (found ya via youtube btw)
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henlo

Active 7d ago
Joined Jan 7, 2026
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