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DeFi University

241 members • Free

3 contributions to DeFi University
🎯 New Tool Drop: Polymarket Arbitrage Bot (Pure Alpha Strategy)
Just finished building something I think you'll find interesting - a fully automated arbitrage bot for Polymarket prediction markets. This isn't your typical degen play - it's a mathematically sound, market-neutral strategy that profits from pricing inefficiencies. 🧠 The Core Strategy The bot exploits a simple mathematical truth: in any binary market (YES/NO), the prices must sum to $1.00 because exactly one outcome will happen. When YES + NO < $1.00 = Risk-Free Profit Real example: BTC to hit $100K: YES @ $0.42, NO @ $0.55 Sum: $0.97 (you're paying 97¢ for a guaranteed $1.00) Buy 100 shares of each = $97 cost → $100 payout = $3 profit (3.1% return) But here's where it gets interesting... 🎲 The "Smart Overload" Edge Instead of just pure arbitrage, the bot runs an internal probability model using Black-Scholes math to detect which side is actually mispriced: If market says YES = 42% but model calculates 38% → YES is overpriced by 4% → Overweight the NO side (60/40 or 70/30 allocation) This turns simple arbitrage into positive expected value trades while maintaining downside protection. ⚡ What Makes This Different Speed Matters: Direct WebSocket feeds from Polymarket CLOB NumPy-optimized order book processing Private RPC endpoints (public ones are too slow) Can detect and execute arbs in <500ms Risk Controls Built In: Automatic kill switch on oracle delays Max 80% allocation to one side (always hedged) Daily loss limits (15% default) Per-trade position sizing via Kelly Criterion Handles orphaned positions automatically Production-Ready: EIP-712 order signing Batch execution (up to 15 orders/call) Redis caching for state management Rate limiting with token bucket algorithm Full paper trading mode 💰 Capital Requirements Minimum to run: 50+ MATIC for gas (~$20-30) Starting capital in USDC.e (recommend $500-1000) Private RPC endpoint (Alchemy/Infura - free tier works) Expected returns: Pure arb spreads: 1-5% per trade With overload: 3-15% per trade
🎯 New Tool Drop: Polymarket Arbitrage Bot (Pure Alpha Strategy)
3 likes • Dec '25
Hey David, I'd love to go over the repo/docs. This looks great, thank you.
🧠 Bittensor (TAO): The Decentralized AI Marketplace
Hey DeFi University fam! I've just completed an exhaustive deep dive into Bittensor (TAO), and what I found is a protocol that's creating something truly unique: a decentralized marketplace for AI intelligence that mirrors Bitcoin's scarcity model while incentivizing real AI development. Let me break down why TAO deserves your attention and how you can position yourself for what's coming. Bittensor TAO Interactive Web App 🎯 The Core Thesis: Why TAO Matters Bittensor is building the economic layer for decentralized AI. Think of it as: - Bitcoin's tokenomics (21M cap, halving mechanics) - Ethereum's smart contract flexibility - A marketplace where AI models compete for rewards The protocol uses something called Yuma Consensus - essentially a "market for truth" where validators stake TAO to vote on which AI models provide the most value. The more stake behind a vote, the more weight it carries. 📊 Key Metrics You Need to Know - Max Supply: 21,000,000 TAO (just like Bitcoin) - Current Emission: ~7,200 TAO/day (halving to 3,600 in December 2025) - Active Subnets: 118 specialized AI networks - Top Subnet (Chutes): Commands 7.87% of all network emissions 💰 The Money Flow: How TAO Economics Work Current State (Pre-dTAO) - 18% of emissions → Subnet Owners (define the rules) - 41% of emissions → Miners (provide AI compute) - 41% of emissions → Validators (verify quality) The Game Changer: dTAO (February 2025) This is where things get spicy. Each subnet will get its own Alpha Token with an AMM pool. Instead of centralized allocation, the market decides: - Stake TAO → Get Alpha Tokens - More TAO staked in a subnet → Higher emissions - It's literally "vote with your capital" The Virtuous Cycle: 1. Strong subnet attracts TAO stakes 2. Higher emissions fund development 3. Better product attracts more TAO 4. Repeat The Death Spiral Risk: 1. Subnet underperforms 2. TAO exits for better opportunities 3. Lower emissions = less development 4. Further decline
2 likes • Nov '25
Sorry, I forgot to answer the second question. I'm seeing about 29% apr overall on my positions, but I still have a lot to do as far as keeping track of subnet volitility. I'm expecting about 40-45% APR once I get it together.
1 like • Nov '25
talisman
Welcome to DeFi U!
Hello everyone and welcome. As we begin building out DeFi University together, please know that any ideas you may have for a new tool, a new live call, a new course, anything that you'd like to build or incorporate in to add more value for us, the community members, that is 100% a yes here. This community is AI first, which simply means that we learn together how to use AI tools to build what will generate more value for us, the community members. We hope to foster an environment of learning and growth in many different areas of life within our DeFi University community, and now with these new AI tools any suggestion that any member has which will add value can quickly be built out and incorporated in. It's a very exciting and transformative time that we live in. To foster a sense of community spirit, please introduce yourself in the general chat as you join, and share a bit about yourself so that we can all get to know one another better. Live calls in the community take place every day Monday through Friday and they are open to all members. See you on the next live call and in the DeFi U chats! -David
2 likes • Oct '25
Hey guys, it's nice to familiar people here :)
1-3 of 3
Allen K
2
8points to level up
@allen-khodabash-9121
30 years of sysadmin and security experience. Started 3 profitable companies.

Active 3h ago
Joined Oct 29, 2025
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