Today’s lesson: your best crypto trades usually happen when macro signals align. Before you trade BTC/ETH, check 2 things: DXY direction (liquidity tightening or easing) Gold/Silver behavior (hedging bid or unwind pressure) Quick reads: DXY rising = tighter conditions → breakouts fail more often DXY falling = easier conditions → trends hold more often Gold/Silver pumping = hedging demand → expect wicks and fake moves Gold/Silver dumping hard = unwind pressure → expect second sweeps Today’s rule: Only trade bigger when the macro picture is clean. Otherwise, trade smaller or stay flat. Question: Are DXY and metals aligned today, or mixed (meaning you should lower risk)?

If you want to understand why BTC and ETH chop or trend, stop staring at crypto only. Watch DXY (the dollar) and commodities. Why DXY matters: DXY up = tighter global liquidity → risk assets struggle to trend cleanly DXY down = looser conditions → risk assets usually get better follow-through Why commodities matter: Gold/Silver up = hedging + uncertainty rising (risk gets selective) Gold/Silver down hard = deleveraging / margin pressure (can spill into everything) What to do today: If DXY is rising, trade smaller and require stronger confirmation. If gold/silver are moving violently, expect wicks and fake moves. If DXY cools + commodities stabilize, crypto trends become more reliable. Simple rule: When the dollar and commodities are unstable, crypto is usually unstable too. Question: Are you watching DXY and metals before taking crypto trades, or only looking at BTC/ETH charts?

1) What the financial markets are doing today Equities: strong bounce / risk appetite returning (for now). SPY: 695.41 (+0.49%) QQQ: 626.14 (+0.68%) This matches the “stocks jump to start February” tone reported by Yahoo Finance and Investopedia (though the session has been volatile). Bonds: not confirming a classic risk-off flight. TLT: 86.55 (-0.64%) Bonds being down while stocks are up implies this is more of a risk-on rebound / repricing than a panic-to-safety day. Dollar: firming (tightens conditions at the margin). UUP: 26.99 (+0.52%) 2) What gold & silver are doing today This is the loudest story on the tape: a violent unwind. GLD (gold): 427.13 (-3.89%) SLV (silver): 72.44 (-3.96%) with extreme volume According to Reuters, today’s commodities slump is being driven by a mix of catalysts including easing U.S.–Iran tensions impacting energy, a stronger dollar, and margin requirement increases that can force deleveraging (especially in levered commodity positioning). How a pro reads this: When metals (especially silver) go from “crowded winner” to “forced unwind,” it can spill over into everything via margin calls and risk reduction. That’s why the rest of the tape can feel jumpy even if stocks are green. 3) What Bitcoin & Ethereum are doing today Crypto is attempting to stabilize with the risk bounce, but still in a high-volatility regime. BTC: 78,293 (+1.99%); intraday 74,609 → 79,155 ETH: 2,313 (+2.00%); intraday 2,163 → 2,387 Interpretation: BTC/ETH being green while metals are dumping suggests the market is doing selective risk: selling what’s in forced unwind (metals) while bidding what’s mean-reverting (equities/crypto). But those intraday ranges are huge. That means liquidity is still fragile and the day can easily produce second sweeps.

Wow btc dumping hard where the bottom at @Jeffrey Rojas