What’s trending today Jobs came in stronger than expected (January Employment Situation released this morning), and the USD caught a bid as rate-cut expectations cooled. Next big catalyst: CPI Friday, Feb 13 at 8:30am ET. Live snapshot (today): • SPY 693.11 (+0.14%), QQQ 612.14 (+0.11%) = equities mixed/flat after the data. • Dollar firmer after jobs beat; Reuters notes the dollar jumped as payrolls beat expectations and unemployment fell. • Gold and silver still strong: GLD 466.59 (+0.91%), SLV 75.96 (+3.47%). • Crypto risk-off: BTC 66,097 (-4.7%), ETH 1,917 (-5.2%). What it means: When jobs surprise strong, markets often reprice “higher-for-longer” risk and the dollar firms. That combo tends to make crypto more trap-prone intraday. How to trade it today: Don’t chase the first bounce in BTC/ETH. Wait for break + hold (hourly close > level is stronger than a wick). Trade smaller until the market calms down after the data. Remember CPI is Friday (another volatility day). Question: Are you trading smaller today, or waiting for confirmation before taking any setup?

This week is all about economic data and how the dollar (DXY) reacts. What’s on deck (ET): - Tue Feb 10, 8:30am: Retail Sales release (rescheduled) - Wed Feb 11, 8:30am: Jobs Report (Employment Situation) - Fri Feb 13, 8:30am: CPI (Consumer Price Index) Why this matters: - DXY up usually = tighter conditions → more fake breakouts in BTC/ETH - DXY down usually = easier conditions → trends hold better How to trade it tomorrow: 1. Don’t chase the first move after data. 2. Watch DXY: if it breaks + holds, that’s your regime. 3. Trade BTC/ETH only after break + hold (confirmation > candles). 4. If it’s messy, trade smaller or stay flat. Question: Are you watching DXY before you take a crypto trade this week?

Live snapshot: • SPY +0.54%, QQQ +0.79% (risk-on attempt) • Dollar softer (UUP -0.61%) • Gold up (GLD +2.36%) and Silver up big (SLV +7.54%) • BTC ~70K (range day), ETH ~2.09K What it means: This is a mixed tape. Stocks are bouncing, but the market is still buying hedges hard (gold/silver). That usually means volatility + fake moves are still on the menu. How we trade it today: Don’t chase the first move. Wait for break + hold (confirmation > candles). Trade smaller until direction is clear. Question: Are you trading smaller today because metals are surging, or waiting for confirmation before taking any size?

Today’s lesson: when DXY changes direction mid-session, crypto often gets choppy and traders get trapped. What a DXY pivot looks like: DXY pushes up early, then fails and reverses or DXY dumps early, then reclaims and rips Why it matters: When the dollar pivots, it changes liquidity conditions in real time. That usually causes: fake breakouts in BTC/ETH stop runs on both sides sudden volatility spikes What to do today: Don’t chase the first crypto move. Watch DXY: if it flips, expect BTC/ETH to whip. Trade only break + hold setups. If it’s messy, staying flat is a win. Question: Did DXY pivot today, and did it trap crypto traders on the first move?

Today’s lesson: your best crypto trades usually happen when macro signals align. Before you trade BTC/ETH, check 2 things: DXY direction (liquidity tightening or easing) Gold/Silver behavior (hedging bid or unwind pressure) Quick reads: DXY rising = tighter conditions → breakouts fail more often DXY falling = easier conditions → trends hold more often Gold/Silver pumping = hedging demand → expect wicks and fake moves Gold/Silver dumping hard = unwind pressure → expect second sweeps Today’s rule: Only trade bigger when the macro picture is clean. Otherwise, trade smaller or stay flat. Question: Are DXY and metals aligned today, or mixed (meaning you should lower risk)?