DAY 12 — DXY + Commodities: The Hidden Drivers of Crypto Volatility

If you want to understand why BTC and ETH chop or trend, stop staring at crypto only.

Watch DXY (the dollar) and commodities.

Why DXY matters:

DXY up = tighter global liquidity → risk assets struggle to trend cleanly

DXY down = looser conditions → risk assets usually get better follow-through

Why commodities matter:

Gold/Silver up = hedging + uncertainty rising (risk gets selective)

Gold/Silver down hard = deleveraging / margin pressure (can spill into everything)

What to do today:

If DXY is rising, trade smaller and require stronger confirmation.

If gold/silver are moving violently, expect wicks and fake moves.

If DXY cools + commodities stabilize, crypto trends become more reliable.

Simple rule:

When the dollar and commodities are unstable, crypto is usually unstable too.

Question:

Are you watching DXY and metals before taking crypto trades, or only looking at BTC/ETH charts?

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