7d • General discussion
87% chance of a US government shutdown at midnight TONIGHT
US prediction markets show there's currently an 87% chance of a government shutdown at midnight TONIGHT
The past average length of shutdown is 8 days - the longest is 35 days in 2018.
In 86% of the time with past shutdowns, markets were higher 12 months later with an average gain of +12.7%.
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87% chance of a US government shutdown at midnight TONIGHT
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