🚨 Current State of the Market 🚨
Here’s something wild I came across this week—There are as many multifamily properties selling for less than the debt owed right now as there were in 2010.
Why?
A lot of operators jumped in during the hype cycle of low rates. They overpaid, underwrote too optimistically, and locked in with adjustable mortgages.
Now those loans are coming due… and the math doesn’t work anymore.
What that means:
  • Properties are trading hands at discounts
  • Debt holders are forcing sales
  • The opportunity set looks very similar to what we saw after the last big crash
This is exactly why we stay disciplined with our underwriting and why I keep reminding everyone—the best deals aren’t when the headlines are screaming “hot market.”
They show up when other operators are stuck and need an exit.
📊 Poll: What do you think is the NUMBER ONE reason we’re seeing so many distressed multifamily deals right now? (there's no wrong answer here)
Adjustable rate mortgages coming due
Overpaying during the hype cycle
Underwriting too optimistically (ignored real expenses/vacancy)
Overall market slowdown / higher cap rates
Other (comment below)
3 votes
0
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Cody Journell
4
🚨 Current State of the Market 🚨
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