Mar 20 • General discussion
Pre-Market 3-20-26
Caution is in order. And it's not just the news.
Today is Triple Witching Friday — a quarterly event where a massive number of options and futures contracts expire at the same time. This forces institutional traders to close or roll over billions of dollars in positions, which typically means much higher volume and choppier-than-normal price action, especially near the open and in the final hour of trading. On top of that, the S&P 500 is being rebalanced today, which adds another wave of mandatory buying and selling from the large index funds.
Historically, triple witching days run about 3x normal volume with a slight negative bias. Layer in the ongoing Iran conflict (Brent crude is pushing back toward $110 this morning), a hawkish Fed that just signaled only one rate cut for the rest of 2026, and a VIX sitting near 25 — and you have a session where big moves are likely, but the direction of those moves is hard to predict.
What does this mean for our strategies?
VOLTURON thrives on clean early momentum. If the open produces a clear directional move driven by real market conviction, Volturon is well-positioned to capture it quickly. The risk is that today’s opening move turns out to be driven by expiration mechanics rather than genuine trend — similar to yesterday’s early fake-out. Either way, the stop loss is there to manage the downside.
NEXUM is designed for days like this. Its adaptive engine can recognize when the tape is being driven by noise rather than signal, and it has the ability to stay selective or sit out entirely. In a session full of conflicting forces, discipline and patience are the edge.
QUANTIVUS and PARALLAX both performed well yesterday because the market delivered a big range with sustained follow-through once the reversal kicked in. They need that same kind of committed directional move today to reach their targets. If the session produces one, they’re built to capture it. If it stays choppy and directionless, their stops will keep losses contained.
The bottom line: today is a high-volatility, high-uncertainty session. Big intraday ranges are likely, but clean trends are not guaranteed. We've decided to sim trade on the sidelines.
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Pre-Market 3-20-26
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