6d • General discussion
Pre-market 2-6-26
The E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures (NQ) for the March 2026 contract are trading higher this morning as of around 8:00 AM EST on February 6, 2026. The current price stands at approximately 24,782.50, reflecting a gain of 131.50 points or +0.53% from the previous close of 24,651.00. Today's open was at 24,416.00, with a session high of 24,873.25 and a low of 24,239.75. Volume is building at around 151,000 contracts, indicating solid participation amid event anticipation. CME and other feeds show minor variations due to timing, but the rebound from early lows is consistent.
From a technical perspective, NQ shows a Sell overall summary, reflecting recent downside pressure but with potential for short-term relief. Moving averages lean Sell (e.g., breakdowns below key levels), while technical indicators also favor Sell amid overbought conditions on select oscillators. Key indicators suggest neutral-to-bearish momentum, with potential consolidation if supports hold. Pivot points for intraday include a classic pivot at 24,784.33, with resistance at 24,875.66 (R1), 24,978.33 (R2), and 25,069.66 (R3), and support at 24,681.66 (S1), 24,590.33 (S2), and 24,487.66 (S3). Current pricing above the pivot supports mild upside, but failure to hold could retest lows.
Market sentiment is cautiously positive in premarket, with Nasdaq futures leading a rebound after a three-day tech rout (Nasdaq Composite down ~4.5% since Tuesday) driven by AI spending concerns, high capex from Amazon/Alphabet, and risk-off flows into value stocks. Bitcoin has stabilized above $65,000 (+3%), aiding sentiment, while Amazon shares drop ~8-9% premarket on capex guidance. Broader indices mixed: S&P 500 futures up 0.4-0.5%, Dow up 0.4-0.5%. Global cues include stable European/Asian markets, but U.S. tariff risks and AI fatigue linger.
Incorporating Fed speakers' announcements: Today, Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip N. Jefferson speaks at 12:00 PM ET on "Economic Outlook and Supply-Side Inflation Dynamics" at the Brookings Institution event "Supply-Side Factors and Inflation: What Have We Learned?" This could provide insights on rate paths amid resilient data and inflation watch, potentially sparking volatility if hawkish.
Other red folder news (high-impact economic events):
- 8:30 AM ET: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jan) – forecast +70K, previous +50K; Unemployment Rate – forecast 4.4%, previous 4.4%; Average Hourly Earnings (m/m) – forecast +0.3%, previous +0.4% (key labor gauge influencing Fed policy bets; surprises could drive sharp moves).
- 10:00 AM ET: U. Mich. Consumer Sentiment (Feb prelim) – forecast 55.0, previous 56.4; Consumer Expectations – forecast 56.7, previous 57.0; Current Conditions – forecast 54.9, previous 55.4 (sentiment could highlight consumer resilience or weakness).
- 3:00 PM ET: Consumer Credit (Dec) – forecast +9.00B, previous +4.23B (credit trends signal spending health).
These releases, especially jobs data, could trigger significant volatility, with markets pricing in a potential delay due to shutdown risks but still expecting the report.
For futures trading, NQ appears constructive for buyers on this rebound, targeting highs above 24,873 toward resistances like 24,875-24,978 if data supports (e.g., soft jobs boosting rate-cut odds). However, with major event risks, expect whipsaws—strong payrolls could reinforce hawkish Fed views and pressure downside toward supports at 24,681-24,590. Volume is solid but anticipate spikes post-8:30 AM; leverage demands tight stops amid anticipation dynamics. Tailor positions to your risk tolerance, perhaps sidelining until post-data clarity.
4
1 comment
Pre-market 2-6-26
powered by
skool.com/futures-trading-group-7221
Welcome to the Futures Trading Group, an exclusive community dedicated to the mastery and advancement of AI-driven automated futures trading.
Suggested communities
Powered by