12d • 📈 Track Record
📈 Track Record Update — Day 22 (April 20, 2026)
Live since March 29, 2026. Every signal logged from Day 1. Nothing deleted.
CURRENT RECORD
Wins: 55
Losses: 26
Pending: 23
Win Rate: 67.9%
Total Signals: 104
Status: VALIDATED
BREAKDOWN BY TYPE
ML Signals: 50W / 18L (73.5%)
Crash Detection: 4W / 8L (33.3%)
Combined: 1W / 0L (100%)
TODAY'S ACTIVE PENDING SIGNALS (NO-side)
- [CRASH] US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? — 31.0¢ → Bet NO
- https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-extended-by
- 2. [ML] Trump announces US blockade of Strait of Hormuz lifted by April 23, 2026? — 37.5¢ → Bet NO
- https://polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by
- 3. [ML] US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? — 37.0¢ → Bet NO
- https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329
- 4. [ML] Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20? — 32.5¢ → Bet NO
- https://polymarket.com/event/epl-cry-wes-2026-04-20
- 5. [CRASH] U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? — 36.8¢ → Bet NO
- https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-seize-another-oil-tanker-by-april-15
- 6. [ML] US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? — 37.5¢ → Bet NO
- https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329
- 7. [ML] Elon Musk posts 65-89 tweets April 18-20, 2026? — 34.0¢ → Bet NO
- https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-april-18-april-20
- 8. [ML] Elon Musk posts 260-279 tweets April 14-21, 2026? — 30.5¢ → Bet NO
- https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-april-14-april-21
- 9. [CRASH] Trump agrees to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? — 43.0¢ → Bet NO
- https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-us-agree-to
- 10. [CRASH] 60 ships transit Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? — 35.5¢ → Bet NO
- https://polymarket.com/event/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-end-of-april
- 11. [CRASH] Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? — 36.5¢ → Bet NO
- https://polymarket.com/event/lal-elc-mad-2026-04-22
RECENT WINS
- Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-18 [ML] ✓
- - RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-19 [ML] ✓
- - Bitcoin above $76,000 on April 19 [ML] ✓
- - Scottie Scheffler wins 2026 RBC Heritage [ML] ✓
- - SC Braga win on 2026-04-19 [CRASH] ✓
- - NEC win on 2026-04-19 [ML] ✓
The NO-side edge continues to validate. Most prediction markets systematically overprice longshot YES outcomes — our ML and crash detection models flag those overpricings before resolution.
Every signal logged before resolution. Nothing deleted. That's the standard.
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📈 Track Record Update — Day 22 (April 20, 2026)
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