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87 contributions to Invest & Retire Community
5.2 % Alert, How Rising Bond Yields Can Shift the Stock Market
Recently, the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond yield hit a critical line at 5.2%. While a 5.2% yield might sound like a simple stat, history shows it is a major warning sign that every investor needs to understand. Why Does 5.2% Matter to Stock Investors? When government bond yields rise this high, it acts like a giant magnet pulling cash out of the stock market. Think of it through the eyes of big institutional investors: - The Guaranteed Return: Why risk money on volatile stocks when the U.S. government guarantees a risk-free 5.2% return on your cash? - The Ghost of 2007: The last time long-term yields held above the 5.2% mark was in 2007. Just months later, the Great Recession hit, and the S&P 500 crashed. - History Repeats: This isn't just about 2008. Sudden jumps in interest rates and yields were the exact pins that popped the 1987 "Black Monday" bubble, the 2000 Dot-Com crash, and the stagflation crash of 1974. When rates climb, borrowing becomes expensive for businesses, future corporate profits drop, and stock prices usually slide.
1 like • 6h
Even for a non US person, Interactive Brokers offer US Treasury Bonds to their investors. Instead of ETFs, buy US long Treasury bond and hold to maturity, or build a ladder. ETFs has time decay, that the price drifts down over time.
0 likes • 1d
Happy 4th everyone!
Forex OR Value Investing OR Options Or Machine Learning? My Investing Journey
In the last 17 years, I tried over 500 different strategies. Here's the full video on where I am at today: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DC8oz1HnN5E​ In this video, I share the biggest lessons I learned at each stage, the mistakes that cost me money, and why each strategy eventually led me to the next one. ​​You'll also learn why my investing philosophy shifted from simply pursuing higher returns to building a more repeatable and sustainable investment process. ​ My key investing journey and milestones:​​ - Forex - Value investing - Discounted blue chip stocks - Options for multiply your profit - Options for income - Machine Learning Each stage has its pros and cons I take all of the lessons I learned and apply it to the next market. Slowly but surely - I grew significantly as an investor Watch the full video here: ​https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DC8oz1HnN5E​ Cheers, Eric --- Eric Seto Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA) Chartered Investment Manager (CIM) Founder of 5MinInvesting.com Whether or you are retiring with $50K, $100K, $300K or more, it is important to figure out the right strategy for you. For people with lots of capital, they can afford to throw it all into CDs / GICs and earn a low 2-3% return. However, if you are looking to generate cashflow with a few hundred thousand, then you would need to look deeper You need to find a more capital efficient strategy and still achieve your target monthly cashflow (for retirement or simply working less) In Investing Accelerator, you will learn two strategies: First, we focus on buying options to buy discounted stocks to multiply our profits for long term gains Second, we focus on selling options to generate interest premium which serves as a more predictable stream of cashflow We use these strategies on blue chip companies like Apple, Microsoft, Visa, Mastercard etc
0 likes • 2d
Thanks for sharing. So, the value stock and option spread (AMPI) strategies you have been teaching us are not the strategy you decided to use for your new fund?
0 likes • 1d
@Eric Seto I see. Option chain history data are very expensive so it is hard to get proper backtest for ML. Is that the part of reasons?
1 like • 2d
Thank you for this post! The same apply to life!
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Shin Ono
5
182points to level up
@shin-ono-3313
I am a photographer live in NY.

Active 3h ago
Joined Sep 28, 2024
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