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Gold played out exactly as anticipated.
In my prior analysis, I outlined the likelihood of price rotating down into last monthโ€™s Value Area Low (VAL) and thatโ€™s precisely what weโ€™ve now seen. Price has delivered a clean auction into that lower value boundary, reinforcing the importance of higher timeframe context and volume-based levels. This wasnโ€™t about prediction but it was about understanding where price is most likely to seek liquidity and rebalance. Now the key question:Do we find acceptance below value and continue lowerโ€ฆ or rotate back into the range? Thatโ€™s what Iโ€™ll break down in the video: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/8bxLApLb-Gold-Wrap-Completes-the-move-to-Inside-Month-VAL/ Have a great weekend and watch the weekend headlines!
3 likes โ€ข 2d
Thank you.have a great weekend too
Gold Market Update โ€” FOMC Week
Hey traders! Gold has started the week fairly sideways, with price consolidating around the weekly opening range rather than committing to a clear direction. From a higher-timeframe perspective, the broader structure still leans bearish, with several pieces of confluence suggesting that sellers remain in control unless buyers can reclaim key levels. Right now, price is resting around last monthโ€™s Point of Control (POC). This is a level where the market previously spent the most time transacting. These areas often act as decision points because they represent a fair value zone where both buyers and sellers have historically agreed on price. This means the next move will likely depend on how traders behave around this level. Bearish Scenario If sellers show further commitment here, the next logical draw would be last monthโ€™s Value Area Low. That would signal that the market is accepting value lower and continuing the broader higher-timeframe bearish pressure. Bullish Scenario However, if this POC acts as support and buyers step in, bulls will likely attempt stops above the March 10th highs, where liquidity is currently resting. A push through those highs would suggest a short-term squeeze before the market decides on the next larger move. Big Picture Context This week is FOMC week, which historically brings higher volatility and unpredictable reactions across USD-related markets. On top of that, we still have ongoing geopolitical risks influencing safe-haven flows, which makes gold particularly sensitive to headline risk. Risk Management Because of this environment, this is not the easiest week to navigate. Focus on: โ€ข Clear structureโ€ข Reduced position sizeโ€ข Letting the market show its hand Remember: Weโ€™re in the long game. Sometimes the best trade is simply protecting capital and waiting for clearer conditions. ๐ŸŽฅ Iโ€™ve posted a video breakdown with charts to go with this analysis so you can see the levels Iโ€™m watching in detail: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/d95XC1Km-Gold-Market-Update-FOMC-Week/
2 likes โ€ข 6d
@Ross Burland thank you very much for your analysis โœ…๏ธ
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