In my prior analysis, I outlined the likelihood of price rotating down into last month’s Value Area Low (VAL) and that’s precisely what we’ve now seen. Price has delivered a clean auction into that lower value boundary, reinforcing the importance of higher timeframe context and volume-based levels. This wasn’t about prediction but it was about understanding where price is most likely to seek liquidity and rebalance. Now the key question:Do we find acceptance below value and continue lower… or rotate back into the range? That’s what I’ll break down in the video: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/8bxLApLb-Gold-Wrap-Completes-the-move-to-Inside-Month-VAL/ Have a great weekend and watch the weekend headlines!

Hey traders! Gold has started the week fairly sideways, with price consolidating around the weekly opening range rather than committing to a clear direction. From a higher-timeframe perspective, the broader structure still leans bearish, with several pieces of confluence suggesting that sellers remain in control unless buyers can reclaim key levels. Right now, price is resting around last month’s Point of Control (POC). This is a level where the market previously spent the most time transacting. These areas often act as decision points because they represent a fair value zone where both buyers and sellers have historically agreed on price. This means the next move will likely depend on how traders behave around this level. Bearish Scenario If sellers show further commitment here, the next logical draw would be last month’s Value Area Low. That would signal that the market is accepting value lower and continuing the broader higher-timeframe bearish pressure. Bullish Scenario However, if this POC acts as support and buyers step in, bulls will likely attempt stops above the March 10th highs, where liquidity is currently resting. A push through those highs would suggest a short-term squeeze before the market decides on the next larger move. Big Picture Context This week is FOMC week, which historically brings higher volatility and unpredictable reactions across USD-related markets. On top of that, we still have ongoing geopolitical risks influencing safe-haven flows, which makes gold particularly sensitive to headline risk. Risk Management Because of this environment, this is not the easiest week to navigate. Focus on: • Clear structure• Reduced position size• Letting the market show its hand Remember: We’re in the long game. Sometimes the best trade is simply protecting capital and waiting for clearer conditions. 🎥 I’ve posted a video breakdown with charts to go with this analysis so you can see the levels I’m watching in detail: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/d95XC1Km-Gold-Market-Update-FOMC-Week/

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