In my prior analysis, I outlined the likelihood of price rotating down into last month’s Value Area Low (VAL) and that’s precisely what we’ve now seen. Price has delivered a clean auction into that lower value boundary, reinforcing the importance of higher timeframe context and volume-based levels. This wasn’t about prediction but it was about understanding where price is most likely to seek liquidity and rebalance. Now the key question:Do we find acceptance below value and continue lower… or rotate back into the range? That’s what I’ll break down in the video: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/8bxLApLb-Gold-Wrap-Completes-the-move-to-Inside-Month-VAL/ Have a great weekend and watch the weekend headlines!

Hey traders! Gold has started the week fairly sideways, with price consolidating around the weekly opening range rather than committing to a clear direction. From a higher-timeframe perspective, the broader structure still leans bearish, with several pieces of confluence suggesting that sellers remain in control unless buyers can reclaim key levels. Right now, price is resting around last month’s Point of Control (POC). This is a level where the market previously spent the most time transacting. These areas often act as decision points because they represent a fair value zone where both buyers and sellers have historically agreed on price. This means the next move will likely depend on how traders behave around this level. Bearish Scenario If sellers show further commitment here, the next logical draw would be last month’s Value Area Low. That would signal that the market is accepting value lower and continuing the broader higher-timeframe bearish pressure. Bullish Scenario However, if this POC acts as support and buyers step in, bulls will likely attempt stops above the March 10th highs, where liquidity is currently resting. A push through those highs would suggest a short-term squeeze before the market decides on the next larger move. Big Picture Context This week is FOMC week, which historically brings higher volatility and unpredictable reactions across USD-related markets. On top of that, we still have ongoing geopolitical risks influencing safe-haven flows, which makes gold particularly sensitive to headline risk. Risk Management Because of this environment, this is not the easiest week to navigate. Focus on: • Clear structure• Reduced position size• Letting the market show its hand Remember: We’re in the long game. Sometimes the best trade is simply protecting capital and waiting for clearer conditions. 🎥 I’ve posted a video breakdown with charts to go with this analysis so you can see the levels I’m watching in detail: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/d95XC1Km-Gold-Market-Update-FOMC-Week/

Hey traders! Markets this week (click that link for video analysis) are still being driven by geopolitical headlines and expectations around inflation. The US dollar has stayed supported as traders continue to move into safe-haven assets while tensions in the Middle East remain elevated. Higher oil prices are also raising inflation concerns, which reduces the chances of aggressive rate cuts from the Fed. The euro still looks weak from a structural perspective. Energy sensitivity and risk sentiment continue to weigh on the region, so the bias remains bearish unless price can reclaim momentum higher. Gold has been volatile, initially rallying on geopolitical risk but now pulling back as the dollar stabilises. For now, the key technical level is Monday’s highs. Above them, gold could quickly regain upside momentum. Below them, the risk shifts to a deeper pullback. Bias for now: Dollar supported Euro bearish Gold conditional, bearish below Monday’s highs Expect volatility to remain high with war headlines and economic data still ahead this week. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/odWr5oks-Mid-Week-Market-Wrap/

Hey traders, Markets calmed slightly on Monday after Trump suggested the war with Iran may end sooner than expected. That eased fears of a long conflict disrupting global energy supply. The dollar pulled back a little while stocks bounced, though traders remain cautious because the situation is still unclear. Oil had surged earlier on fears of escalation but gave back a chunk of those gains. The euro, NZD, JPY and Gold recovered slightly against the US dollar as I forecasted earlier in the day. For now the market is trading on hope rather than certainty. If the conflict de-escalates quickly, risk assets could rally and the dollar could weaken. But if tensions flare up again, we could see another sharp move back into safe-haven assets. Here is my video wrap and thesis for the day ahead: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NZDJPY/RuOkm9TK-Market-Wrap-Gold-EUR-USD-and-NZD-JPY/ May the markets go with you! Ross

Hey traders, Here is an update on EUR/USD: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/nZvOqXdt-EUR-USD-Headed-Towards-Wed-Highs-Eyes-1-1650/ Cheers Ross