State of Multifamily 5/6/25 - Rent Growth - Construction Demand - Capital and more
šļø Multifamily Market Highlights š¹ Rent Growth: National rent growth is projected to rise to 2.0%ā2.5% in 2025 (up from 1.0% in 2024), fueled by job growth and strong demand from renters aged 20ā34. š Fannie Mae š¹ Vacancy & Demand: Expected average vacancy rate for 2025: 4.9%. Rent growth projected at 2.6% with stronger demand and a shrinking construction pipeline. š CBRE 2025 Multifamily Outlook š¹ Supply Trends: Construction starts down 74% from 2021 peak and 30% below pre-pandemic average. This will support stronger rent growth into 2026. š CBRE Construction Pipeline š° Macroeconomic Indicators š¹ GDP Forecast: Fannie Mae revised 2025 GDP growth down to 1.7%, citing weak Q1 data and global trade policy shifts. š Fannie Mae Economic Forecast š¹ Labor Market: February saw 151,000 new jobs added. Unemployment rate: 4.1%, expected to average 4.2% for 2025. š Fannie Mae Employment Data š¹ Inflation & Rates: Core inflation now projected at 3.3% for 2025. Rates remain elevated, which continues to affect development and acquisitions. š Bass Berry Multifamily Update š¦ Capital Markets & Investment š¹ Freddie Mac Forecast: $370ā$380 billion in multifamily loan originations expected in 2025, as refinances and sidelined deals return. š Freddie Mac 2025 Multifamily Outlook