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Market Update – September 30, 2025 Bitcoin (BTC) So, Bitcoin right now is sitting at $114,000, up from about $111,000 the last time we talked. It’s been trading in a pretty tight range all month. The monthly high was $118,000 and the monthly low was $108,000, which we hit on September 26th. Since then we bounced back, and in my opinion this is bullish movement coming off that bottom. What I’m looking for here is a push above $117,500. That’s kind of the line in the sand for me where I’d feel confident saying, “Okay, we’re back in that zone where all-time highs are back on the table.” Until then, it’s still consolidation. Structurally, we’ve seen a higher high at the end of August, then a higher low, then mid-September gave us a lower high, which really shows the market squeezing together. That tightening action usually resolves in a big move. The way it looks to me, it could easily be setting up as a bull flag, and that’s the type of setup that often fuels a strong breakout into Q4. Ethereum (ETH) Ethereum right now is at $4,145, down a little from about $4,300 on the last update. Same theme as Bitcoin—it’s been consolidating in a tighter band. Remember, ETH put in a new all-time high of $4,959 at the end of August, and then retraced all the way down to $3,800. That’s about a 23% pullback. And honestly, that’s textbook crypto behavior. These 20–30% retracements are normal. They wash out the weak hands, shake out leverage, and then set the stage for another push higher. So, while we’re down a little bit right now, I see this as healthy. Combine that with the macro environment—rate cuts, more favorable sentiment around crypto—I think Q4 lines up really well for ETH. Historically, September has been the best month to buy crypto when you look at year-over-year returns. This September looks no different to me. Altcoins Now let’s move into some alts that I’m watching: Solana, Avalanche, and Pengu. Solana (SOL) is currently around $208. September was a wild ride for it. We started the month closer to $190, ran all the way to $250, then dropped back down to $190 on September 25th. Since then, it’s recovered and climbed back above $200. To me, that looks like a breakout, a retest, and now a hold of that $190 area as support—which used to be resistance. That’s exactly what you want to see. SOL has been lagging behind BTC and ETH for a while, and in my view this is it playing catch-up.

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