Market Update – September 30, 2025 Bitcoin (BTC) So, Bitcoin right now is sitting at $114,000, up from about $111,000 the last time we talked. It’s been trading in a pretty tight range all month. The monthly high was $118,000 and the monthly low was $108,000, which we hit on September 26th. Since then we bounced back, and in my opinion this is bullish movement coming off that bottom. What I’m looking for here is a push above $117,500. That’s kind of the line in the sand for me where I’d feel confident saying, “Okay, we’re back in that zone where all-time highs are back on the table.” Until then, it’s still consolidation. Structurally, we’ve seen a higher high at the end of August, then a higher low, then mid-September gave us a lower high, which really shows the market squeezing together. That tightening action usually resolves in a big move. The way it looks to me, it could easily be setting up as a bull flag, and that’s the type of setup that often fuels a strong breakout into Q4. Ethereum (ETH) Ethereum right now is at $4,145, down a little from about $4,300 on the last update. Same theme as Bitcoin—it’s been consolidating in a tighter band. Remember, ETH put in a new all-time high of $4,959 at the end of August, and then retraced all the way down to $3,800. That’s about a 23% pullback. And honestly, that’s textbook crypto behavior. These 20–30% retracements are normal. They wash out the weak hands, shake out leverage, and then set the stage for another push higher. So, while we’re down a little bit right now, I see this as healthy. Combine that with the macro environment—rate cuts, more favorable sentiment around crypto—I think Q4 lines up really well for ETH. Historically, September has been the best month to buy crypto when you look at year-over-year returns. This September looks no different to me. Altcoins Now let’s move into some alts that I’m watching: Solana, Avalanche, and Pengu. Solana (SOL) is currently around $208. September was a wild ride for it. We started the month closer to $190, ran all the way to $250, then dropped back down to $190 on September 25th. Since then, it’s recovered and climbed back above $200. To me, that looks like a breakout, a retest, and now a hold of that $190 area as support—which used to be resistance. That’s exactly what you want to see. SOL has been lagging behind BTC and ETH for a while, and in my view this is it playing catch-up.

I hv been working on crypto in a low key experimental way since the time of Covid lockdowns. I have positions on a few but have just been redistributing but not really in a 'take the money and run' type of way. This community will be a chance to re-evaluate the wisdom of what I have done. About half in Ethereum and then spread between Ondo, Arbitrum, Cardano, Aerodrome, Chainlink, Stellar and Polygon. Nothing in Bitcoin apart from going g halves with a friend in Japan who is mining Bitcoin on a small scale.

We are accelerating this Skool community if you haven't already noticed! Tomorrow on our podcast, we will be pulling an RWA that could have up to a $1k value and giving it to someone in this community. An RWA is simply something that can be held, used, and sold as a token, or you can redeem the physical that is vaulted, in this case in NYC, at any time. We are also capping this free community at 100 members, so if you know anyone wanting to really be a part of something big, get them in here before it's capped. Not to mention, once the free 100 are capped, there will also be affiliate incentives if you're looking to make extra revenue to put into the market. For info on this pull, see the video below.

Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin is currently trading at $111,486. We saw a recent low around $107K on August 28–29, followed by a recovery. Right now, price action suggests Bitcoin is consolidating in this area. ETH/BTC Ratio: I’ve been watching the ETH/BTC ratio closely—it’s probably the most important chart in the market right now. - My average entry was around 0.023. - I took profit on one-third of my position at 0.043. - Currently, we’re back to 0.038, a bit of a pullback, but I think this area holds as support. Macro-wise, rate cuts are coming, job numbers are weak, and investors remain cautious. Initially, markets may react negatively (“too late, recession incoming”), but the $5 trillion debt ceiling raise makes long-term bearishness harder to sustain. My view: you want strong exposure to Bitcoin. Ethereum (ETH): Current price: $4,316. - Recent low at $4,069 on August 20. - Holding above $4,200, consolidating with RSI cooling off on the daily chart. - Structure still looks bullish. Solana (SOL): Current price: $218. - Low at $155 in late July/early August. - Consistently forming higher lows and now breaking out. - Momentum is supported by PumpFun and renewed meme coin activity. Meme Coins & Pengu: I’m very bullish on Pengu. With the Doge ETF approved, I expect more meme-coin ETFs to follow. Pengu already has an application in, which could act as a strong catalyst. Stablecoins & Regulation: Governments are fast-tracking stablecoin approvals, likely to strengthen the dollar’s global dominance. Tether, USDC, and Circle are all central to this push. Whoever leads here essentially controls the on-ramps. Altcoins / Broader Market: - Many alts (including AVAX) are showing clean falling wedge setups on weekly charts. - Expect strong performance from the top 10 alts, with leaders continuing to outperform. - The total altcoin market cap should rise as capital rotates through the end of the year. Which tokens are you interested in? Let me know, and I can help chart/give analysis!

I was scrolling X and saw this post (https://x.com/chain_broker/status/1965822584517222641?s=46&t=n1VGiEO2NZQS0CwcNwdGBg) and I thought I'd share my 2 cents regarding a few coins that could perform well pretty soon (not crazy X's, but solid p if you were to get in with size). These are coins which are ISO20022 compliant (XRP, ADA, QNT, IOTA, XLM). Long story short, they're liked by the FED and will only be more and more adopted by multiple financial institutions. This compatibility with the ISO20022 financial standard facilitates faster, more cost-effective, and transparent cross-border payments, hence why mass adoption is due. Of course, not all of their charts look the same and some look better than others from a TA viewpoint, but after some will take off, the window for taking profit will be quite short, as I see the bottom around late March–early April 2026. Some of them might surprise you, so simply do a little research, take a look at their charts and then you can make up your mind! As always, NFA & DYOR 💸