Market Update – September 30, 2025 Bitcoin (BTC) So, Bitcoin right now is sitting at $114,000, up from about $111,000 the last time we talked. It’s been trading in a pretty tight range all month. The monthly high was $118,000 and the monthly low was $108,000, which we hit on September 26th. Since then we bounced back, and in my opinion this is bullish movement coming off that bottom. What I’m looking for here is a push above $117,500. That’s kind of the line in the sand for me where I’d feel confident saying, “Okay, we’re back in that zone where all-time highs are back on the table.” Until then, it’s still consolidation. Structurally, we’ve seen a higher high at the end of August, then a higher low, then mid-September gave us a lower high, which really shows the market squeezing together. That tightening action usually resolves in a big move. The way it looks to me, it could easily be setting up as a bull flag, and that’s the type of setup that often fuels a strong breakout into Q4. Ethereum (ETH) Ethereum right now is at $4,145, down a little from about $4,300 on the last update. Same theme as Bitcoin—it’s been consolidating in a tighter band. Remember, ETH put in a new all-time high of $4,959 at the end of August, and then retraced all the way down to $3,800. That’s about a 23% pullback. And honestly, that’s textbook crypto behavior. These 20–30% retracements are normal. They wash out the weak hands, shake out leverage, and then set the stage for another push higher. So, while we’re down a little bit right now, I see this as healthy. Combine that with the macro environment—rate cuts, more favorable sentiment around crypto—I think Q4 lines up really well for ETH. Historically, September has been the best month to buy crypto when you look at year-over-year returns. This September looks no different to me. Altcoins Now let’s move into some alts that I’m watching: Solana, Avalanche, and Pengu. Solana (SOL) is currently around $208. September was a wild ride for it. We started the month closer to $190, ran all the way to $250, then dropped back down to $190 on September 25th. Since then, it’s recovered and climbed back above $200. To me, that looks like a breakout, a retest, and now a hold of that $190 area as support—which used to be resistance. That’s exactly what you want to see. SOL has been lagging behind BTC and ETH for a while, and in my view this is it playing catch-up.

Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin is currently trading at $111,486. We saw a recent low around $107K on August 28–29, followed by a recovery. Right now, price action suggests Bitcoin is consolidating in this area. ETH/BTC Ratio: I’ve been watching the ETH/BTC ratio closely—it’s probably the most important chart in the market right now. - My average entry was around 0.023. - I took profit on one-third of my position at 0.043. - Currently, we’re back to 0.038, a bit of a pullback, but I think this area holds as support. Macro-wise, rate cuts are coming, job numbers are weak, and investors remain cautious. Initially, markets may react negatively (“too late, recession incoming”), but the $5 trillion debt ceiling raise makes long-term bearishness harder to sustain. My view: you want strong exposure to Bitcoin. Ethereum (ETH): Current price: $4,316. - Recent low at $4,069 on August 20. - Holding above $4,200, consolidating with RSI cooling off on the daily chart. - Structure still looks bullish. Solana (SOL): Current price: $218. - Low at $155 in late July/early August. - Consistently forming higher lows and now breaking out. - Momentum is supported by PumpFun and renewed meme coin activity. Meme Coins & Pengu: I’m very bullish on Pengu. With the Doge ETF approved, I expect more meme-coin ETFs to follow. Pengu already has an application in, which could act as a strong catalyst. Stablecoins & Regulation: Governments are fast-tracking stablecoin approvals, likely to strengthen the dollar’s global dominance. Tether, USDC, and Circle are all central to this push. Whoever leads here essentially controls the on-ramps. Altcoins / Broader Market: - Many alts (including AVAX) are showing clean falling wedge setups on weekly charts. - Expect strong performance from the top 10 alts, with leaders continuing to outperform. - The total altcoin market cap should rise as capital rotates through the end of the year. Which tokens are you interested in? Let me know, and I can help chart/give analysis!