User
Write something
Chart Request?
Posting chart breakdowns later this evening. If you want me to breakdown a specific chart, please drop the ticker below.
LULU – Mixed Bias – Swing / Position
First: Determine Your Goal Before analyzing LULU, decide which lens you’re using: - Investor: Focused on fundamentals and whether current price is misaligned with future value. - Trader: Focused on structure, demand, and clearly defined risk. The conclusion changes depending on the objective. Investor View (Fundamental / Long-Term): From an investor standpoint, the key question isn’t whether this is the bottom — it’s whether there’s a disconnect between today’s price and the company’s future fundamentals. LULU is roughly 60% below ATH, and at these levels the market is pricing in significant pessimism. If the business can stabilize growth, protect margins, and maintain brand strength over time, then current price may not reflect future value. Short-term volatility remains, but long-term risk/reward is materially better than it was near highs. Trading View (HTF Structure & Execution): Price has already reached and reacted from major HTF demand (128.85–177.77), which is why downside momentum has slowed. That reaction created two internal demand zones at 178.90–191.85 and 160.97–173.23. Structurally, this isn’t a clean bullish setup. It’s more of a location-based opportunity than a trend continuation, so conviction stays moderate. - If price retraces into either internal demand zone, small, controlled DCA only - No aggressive sizing unless structure improves and buyers prove control - Ultimate invalidation: loss of 128.80 — if that breaks, HTF demand has failed and the long thesis is off Notes - This is risk-defined, not momentum-driven. - Conviction increases with structure, not lower price alone.
0
0
LULU – Mixed Bias – Swing / Position
TSLA – Neutral / Conditional – Swing
HTF CONTEXT: TSLA is currently trading inside a major HTF supply zone, which continues to cap upside attempts. Price has shown hesitation and rejection behavior within supply, keeping the market in a decision area rather than clean continuation. Below current price sits a large imbalance at 358–383, representing inefficient price action that remains unfilled. As long as supply holds, this imbalance acts as a magnet for potential downside rotation. To unlock higher prices, TSLA must break and accept above HTF supply, which currently ends at 488.54. Until that occurs, upside is structurally limited. KEY LEVELS & ZONES: - HTF Supply (Ceiling): Up to 488.54 - Internal / Reaction Supply: Inside HTF supply - HTF Imbalance (Downside Inefficiency): 358–383 - Bullish Requirement: Clean break + acceptance above 488.54 - Bullish Continuation Zone: Newly formed demand (not yet confirmed) GAME PLAN: 1. While price remains inside or below HTF supply, maintain a neutral-to-defensive bias. 2. Failure or rejection within supply keeps downside risk elevated toward the 358–383 imbalance. 3. No long thesis while price is capped below 488.54. 4. If supply is cleanly broken and accepted, wait patiently for price to retrace into newly formed HTF demand. 5. Only consider swing longs after demand is confirmed — no breakout chasing.
0
0
TSLA – Neutral / Conditional – Swing
PLTR – Bearish – Swing
HTF CONTEXT: PLTR reversed from HTF supply at 187.13–194.86, which directly caused a break of structure to the downside, confirming a bearish regime shift. Price retraced back into this supply and is now showing seller response, including the formation of minor internal supply, suggesting distribution rather than accumulation. Importantly, there is no valid HTF demand with clear cause → effect below current price, limiting upside continuation scenarios. KEY LEVELS & ZONES: - HTF Supply (Primary): 187.13–194.86 - Internal / Reaction Supply: Formed inside HTF supply - Downside Objective Zone: Below current range where inefficiency exists - Invalidation: Sustained acceptance above HTF supply GAME PLAN: 1. Maintain bearish bias while price remains below 194.86 HTF supply. 2. Favor shorts on retracements into supply, especially if price shows hesitation or failed continuation higher. 3. Expect potential liquidity sweep above internal supply, followed by downside continuation. 4. Downside targets favor inefficient price action lower, where price may rebalance. 5. No longs until a new HTF demand forms with clear cause/effect and structure shift. NO-TRADE RULE:
0
0
PLTR – Bearish – Swing
SPX500 – Short Bias – Day Trade / Swing
HTF CONTEXT: Price rejected from HTF supply at 6911.60–6926.98, triggering a selloff and confirming active sellers. That rejection also led to the creation of fresh supply at 6885.18–6904.70, keeping HTF structure bearish. With inefficient price action below, downside continuation remains the higher-probability path while supply holds. KEY LEVELS & ZONES: - Primary HTF Supply: 6911.60–6926.98 - Fresh Supply (Execution Zone): 6885.18–6904.70 - Downside Inefficiency: ~6780 and below - Bullish Invalidation: Acceptance above 6927 GAME PLAN: 1. Maintain short bias while price remains below 6905–6927 supply. 2. If price retraces into 6885–6905, look for day trade or swing shorts aligned with HTF supply. 3. Downside objective favors a move into inefficient price action toward 6780. 4. Stand aside on shorts if price reclaims and holds above 6927. 5. If both supply zones are invalidated, flip bias and look for longs off newly created demand after confirmation.
0
0
SPX500 – Short Bias – Day Trade / Swing
1-30 of 80
powered by
Swing Trading Desk
skool.com/the-trading-desk-2388
Weekly watchlist w/ exact levels, live trade alerts, reviews + weekly Q&A. Bonus course (early access). Start 7-day trial
Build your own community
Bring people together around your passion and get paid.
Powered by