4d (edited) • 📊 Market Analysis & Watchlist
ORCL — Bullish — Swing
⚡ EXECUTION PACKAGE
- Entry Zone: 121.24–139.00 (key level: 127.54)
- - Stop Loss: Below 121.24
- - Target 1: $195 (POC) — take 50%, move stop to breakeven
- - Target 2: TBD — holding remainder for structure above POC
- - Invalidation: Acceptance below 121.24 (daily close below)
📋 GAME PLAN
IF price retraces into demand → THEN looking for entry near 127.54 or lower
IF stop hit below 121.24 → THEN exit completely, thesis invalidated
IF T1 reached at $195 → THEN take 50%, move stop to breakeven
IF price rips without pullback → THEN no chase, let it go
💡 SETUP CONTEXT
Structure: ORCL retraced the entire run from ~340 back into HTF demand at 121.24–139. This is the original accumulation range — the same zone that launched the move to all-time highs.
Edge: Last week printed heavy volume with a doji-like weekly candle — wicks on both sides right at the 200 WMA inside demand. That kind of volume response at structure is institutional defense. The 200 WMA at ~127 is acting as a floor underneath price.
My read: Bottom is likely in. Even if it's not, this is a highly asymmetric setup. Risk is defined below 121.24, and minimum upside expectation is a retrace to POC around $195. That's roughly 1:4+ R:R from the key level.
I'll update this in real time as price develops. Post your plans below if you're taking this one.
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ORCL — Bullish — Swing
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