June 13 PRO Card — Engine Breakdown

Maple Xi

16d • PRO Daily Picks

QATAR vs SWITZERLAND — 1:00pm MT

Switzerland to Win — ~1.50 — MED

Only valid at 1.40+. bet365 is ~1.30 — skip. Check your book before placing.

Over 3.5 Match Cards — 1.75 — HIGH

Referee Said Martínez averages 4.17 yellows per game. Qatar foul early and often. Bet this regardless of match result.

Switzerland -0.5 Asian Handicap — 1.65 — MED

Use as backup if Swiss ML is under 1.40 at your book.

⛔ U2.5 removed — engine gives it only 46% probability. Market is at 54%. Wrong side.

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BRAZIL vs MOROCCO — 4:00pm MT

⚠ Neymar DOUBTFUL · Rodrygo OUT · Estêvão OUT · Militão OUT

⚠ Morocco: Aguerd OUT · Ezzalzouli OUT · Mazraoui DOUBTFUL

Brazil to Win — 1.57 — MED (half-unit)

Engine gives Brazil 62.9% — market already has them at 63.9%. Barely no edge. Still most likely outcome, but half-unit only.

Over 1.5 Goals — ~1.65 — MED

Engine expects Brazil to score 1.4 goals. Morocco still have Hakimi and Ziyech to threaten on the counter. Getting to 2 total goals is realistic.

BTTS No — 1.90 — MED

Ezzalzouli gone = Morocco's best creator missing. Engine puts Morocco's chance of scoring at 44%. Directionally correct.

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HAITI vs SCOTLAND — 7:00pm MT

⚠ Gilmour OUT · McTominay DOUBTFUL · McKenna monitored

⭐ Scotland to Win — 1.56 — HIGH — ENGINE CONFIRMED

Engine: Scotland 69.8% vs market 60.4%. Edge = +9.4%. Biggest edge of the day.// Scotland ELO 1468 vs Haiti 1118 — largest gap in any game today.

⭐ Haiti vs Scotland Over 2.5 Goals — 2.00 — HIGH — ENGINE NEW// Engine expects Scotland to score 2.4 goals. Engine puts Over 2.5 at 59% — market is at 50%. Edge = +9.1%.

This pick was not in the original card. Engine flagged it when we ran V4.1 overnight.

⛔ U2.5 removed — engine puts it at only 41%. Market was at 57%. That's a -16% edge. Wrong side.

Scotland to Win to Nil — 2.00 — MED

Scotland conceded 7 goals in 6 qualifiers. Haiti's attack is limited. Engine gives Haiti a 47% chance of scoring — tight, but defensive record supports it.

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AUSTRALIA vs TURKEY — 10:00pm MT// ⚠ Yildiz MAJOR DOUBT · Guler CONFIRMED FIT

Turkey to Win — 1.71 — LOW (half-unit)

Engine's required gap between teams is 40 ELO points. Turkey came in at 39. One point short. Qualitative case is still there — Guler, Calhanoglu, Kokcu is a quality midfield — but half-unit only.

Over 3.5 Match Cards — 1.70 — HIGH

Referee Jesús Valenzuela gives 5.01 yellows per game — highest of any referee today. Both sides foul to disrupt. Clearest value pick in this game.

⛔ U2.5 removed — engine has this game at exactly 50/50 on total goals. No edge either way.

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MULTIS

Safe: Scotland Win + Brazil/Morocco O1.5 + Aus/Turkey Cards — ~4.40

Balanced: Brazil Win + Scotland Win + Aus/Turkey Cards — ~4.20

Bold: Scotland O2.5 + Scotland Win to Nil + Turkey Win — ~6.80

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