RECORDING · July 10th, 2026 Live Roundtable 📈🟠

The failed $64K reclaim, where we sit on the staircase, and the two-indicator bottom signal that only fires at cycle lows. Full recording can be found below.

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The TLDR

The four headwinds, updated. War came back this week with US strikes resuming, and that's why the $64K reclaim failed. The framework held, the timeline slipped.

The staircase. The 200-week MA around $61.7K broke on schedule. Downside zone from here is $49.5K (LTH cost basis) to roughly $55K (upper band of the on-chain confluence). A range, not a line.

The bottom signal, live. ETF money capitulated into the worst outflow month ever, then flipped to a three-day inflow run. Long-term holders accumulating while underwater. Both only fire at cycle lows. Both are firing now.

The Saylor wrinkle. Largest-ever sale, absorbed without a dump. Tells you demand is real down here.

Plus the full Q&A.

Press play for the whole thing.

And a heads up on what's coming: a live dashboard you can update in real time, and a daily morning newsletter with the levels and charts we're watching, every morning starting next week. Stay tuned.

Bottom in, or does the range still print? Sound off in the comments and let's get the discussion going.

- Joe

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RECORDING · July 10th, 2026 Live Roundtable 📈🟠