This weekend I shared how I was framing risk on S&P 500 / US100.
The goal wasn’t to “call the top,” it was to define:
- Where supply would actually matter, and
- Where downside would make structural, not emotional, sense.
Here’s what I laid out:
- We had a clear bearish impulse on the daily, showing sellers taking control
- Recent demand was already partially mitigated, which weakens its ability to hold
- I marked 6945–7006 as a key supply zone to watch if price retraced
- I flagged 6524–6662 as the next meaningful demand zone, where further downside would make structural sense
What happened next:
- Price pushed back up into the 6945–7006 supply zone
- On lower time frames, we saw distribution, a liquidity sweep, and then a break of structure to the downside, remitigating lower TF supply
Here’s the important part:
I did not catch this move live. I wasn’t at the charts when it triggered.
But the analysis and structure held up exactly as planned.
For you as a 9–5 trader, the lesson is:
- Your job is to have a clear, rules-based plan in advance
- You focus on zones, structure, and risk, not feelings or headlines
- You measure progress by “Did my read make sense?” not just “Did I catch every single move?”
If you want to see these kinds of plans before they play out and learn the exact No‑Chase Swing Method I use to trade around a full-time job in under 30 minutes a day, that’s what we work on inside The Trading Desk.