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J. Murray 19.5 Over Jamal owes us, and I think tonight is the perfect opportunity for him to deliver, as he has a favorable matchup against the Pistons. Yes, the Nuggets are on a back-to-back, but if they want to secure a win against a tricky home team, Jokic will need someone to step up, and as the second scoring option, Murray is our pick. The Pistons struggle to defend three-pointers, which is Murray’s strongest weapon. They also don’t defend the mid-range well, where he scores a lot, and they rank as the second-worst defense against PnR ball-handlers—an area where Murray thrives. Westbrook may rest in this back-to-back, but regardless, in a close game, I expect Murray to play 35+ minutes. He already torched the Pistons for 34 points earlier this season. Last night, he took 20 shots, which is great for this line, and with that usage rate, I see him much closer to the over against Detroit. Statistically, the Pistons rank 24th in defending opposing ball-handlers over the last 10 games, allowing an average of 28 PPG to them. Oddly enough, the Pistons are favored in this matchup, meaning it should be competitive, and I believe Murray gets 20+ points. Good luck. --- D. Bane 18.5 Over Bane is questionable, but since most sportsbooks are offering him, let’s assume he will play against the Knicks. This should be a fast-paced game, which suits him well, and the Knicks aren’t great at defending ATB3, his two strongest weapons, making him more likely to go over this line. In their only meeting this season, he finished with 16 points, but that was a blowout win for the Knicks, meaning he didn’t play his full minutes. Over his last nine games, he has surpassed this line seven times. In his last outing against the Suns, he played 43 minutes and scored 25 points. If this game stays competitive and he gets his usual minutes (averaging over 35 MPG in his last 10), I see him much closer to the over. Good luck. --- C.J. McCollum 21.5 Over CJ has a chance for a serious bounce-back game after struggling in the first half against the Suns last time, scoring just 5 points on 2/8 shooting. Interestingly, he finished that game with 19 points on 18 shot attempts. The fact that he has gone over this line in 19 of his last 25 games when taking 18+ shots speaks for itself.

🏀Nikola Jokic (Denver) 21.5+ over rebounds and assists Looks like NBA is changing defense on Jokic, and therefor he gets 20+ potential assists per game, crazy right? But it is obvious, double him down on low post and live by open 3pt shots from Gordon and Braun. Can not go wrong on long term! Limiting Jokic on points will always be a double edge sword, but it is what it is and we will take advantage vs Detroit! Duren just can not defend this Serbian beast! Detroit allows 4th lowest rebounds to opposite centers, but they are in top 5 worst in allowing assists, on all together they allow a bit over 18RA to centers! However, Jokic is a special force, and if we just know that 10+ ass from him is just a daily job, than this line is out of the world! Take the value, take the line!

🏀Jayson Tatum = 7.5+ Over Rebounds (Team - Boston Celtics) Tatum and the Celtics take on the Cavaliers, in a matchup where he has historically dominated on the glass. Against Cleveland, Tatum has averaged 9.5 rebounds on 14.9 rebound chances in 38.5 MPG. When playing alongside KP, Tatum has recorded 9.2 boards on 15.6 chances. With 34+ minutes, 10+ rebound chances, and KP, Tatum is over this number in 15/17 games this season, averaging 10.9 rebounds and 28/L30 games. With 11+ chances these numbers both go to 100%. 🏀Donovan Clingan = 10.5+ Over Rebounds+Assists (Team - Portland Blazers) Clingan has hit this line in 7/L9 without Ayton & Williams He is averaging 13.6 RAs in that span. The Nets are ranked 17th in RAs allowed to centers. Clingan is currently the only true center the blazers have available today. His biggest enemy is foul trouble but other than that he should be in line for 20+ minutes. He has cleared this line even in tough matchups such as Houston & Minnesota

Z. Williamson 23.5 Over The Suns are playing poorly considering their roster, currently below a 50% win rate, yet they are 8-point favorites against the Pelicans according to bookmakers. Both teams have no significant absences, so I hope the Pelicans can stay in the game long enough for the starters to play in the fourth quarter. From the Pelicans, we are going with Zion. He still plays under 30 minutes but has a high usage rate when on the floor. The Suns are a good matchup for him since they lack a defender who can match his strength. Bol is currently playing at PF, but he is not a suitable defender for Zion, so they will likely try Richards, who is also below average defensively. The Suns allow a high number of points to opposing frontcourts, ranking 26th in that category over the last 10 games. They also concede a lot of points in the paint, ranking 28th in that span. Zion missed their previous matchup this season due to injury. In his last four games, he has split results on this line, but given the matchup and Phoenix's weak defense, I see him closer to the over. Last season, he faced them three times and cleared this line in all three. Good luck. --- R. Hachimura 15.5 Under I'm mainly playing this due to the line, even though Rui has been playing well lately. However, considering he is only the fourth option in this roster, I think 15.5 is slightly high, especially against Minnesota, which can play excellent defense. It's true that Gobert is out, which is a downside since he is their best rim protector. Still, in this roster, LeBron, Luka, and Reaves all take priority in shot attempts, making 15.5 seem too high for Rui. He has played Minnesota three times this season, clearing this line only once—in their first matchup. In the last two, he scored 10 and 9 points. He has also hit the under in two of his last three games, scoring 21 against Denver but staying below with 6 against Portland and 15 against Dallas. He hasn’t attempted more than 12 shots in any of his last three games, and I expect a similar shot distribution tonight. He is shooting 50% from the field this season, so unless he takes significantly more shots, I believe he will stay under this line. Good luck.