C. Murray-Boyles 10.5 Under Murray-Boyles is a talented young player with plenty of potential, but tonight he faces a tough matchup against Cleveland’s strong frontcourt. Mobley and Allen (if active) are a serious obstacle for him, especially since he’s still developing offensively. Like most young players, he struggles with foul trouble — one of the main reasons I’m leaning toward the under. He had two solid games against the Spurs and Rockets with great shooting percentages, but it’s hard for a rookie to maintain that efficiency, especially versus one of the league’s best interior defenses. Cleveland has been elite for years at defending centers and paint scorers, and I expect that to continue. Simply put — a tough matchup and limited efficiency make him much closer to the under. Good luck.

K. Porzingis 17.5 Over 1.90 Atlanta will be without Trae Young tonight and are only slight favorites against a short-handed Pacers squad, but a fast, high-scoring game is expected — perfect for this prop. Porzingis should have an ideal matchup here since Indiana lacks size to guard him, and his pick-and-pop game should stand out. He’s played three games this season, scoring 20+ in two of them. In the last one he started cold and never recovered, but that feels unlikely to repeat. If the game stays close and he logs full minutes (25+), I see him clearing this line comfortably. Excellent value in this spot. Good luck.

K. Towns 21.5 Over – @1.90 No need to overanalyze this one — it’s straightforward. The Bulls are by far the worst team in the league at defending centers, so I expect Mike Brown to keep attacking them with constant pick-and-roll action. Vucevic, along with Valanciunas, is one of the weakest PnR defenders in the NBA. Towns loves playing against Chicago — last season he scored 46, 44, and 32 points against them. They allow the 2nd most points in the paint and the most within the restricted area. Since Vucevic always plays in drop coverage and Towns often stretches the floor with threes, this matchup suits him perfectly. He takes 92% of his shots either from the paint or above-the-break threes, and the Bulls rank among the bottom five in defending both areas. Recent examples say enough: Porzingis 27, Sabonis 18, Stewart 20, Duren 14. Towns is a better scorer than all of them — I expect a 25+ point game tonight.

T Murphy 15.5 Over – @1.90 I simply can’t accept Murphy’s line being set at 15.5 — no matter how poor he’s been to start the season, it shouldn’t be below 17.5–18.5, even with Zion, Poole, Firs, Bey, and the rest of the Pelicans’ roster. Murphy is much more than a spot-up shooter; against Denver, he looked off, and Jokic’s constant help defense at the top prevented him from finding good shooting positions. Tonight, facing Lopez and Zubac — both drop-coverage bigs who rarely step out — I expect Murphy to lean more on his pull-up game. He’s played two blowout games already this season yet still consistently gets 32+ minutes. If this one stays close, 35–38 minutes are realistic. Last year, he went over this line in both matchups vs the Clippers with 18 and 21 points. Zion’s presence should pull defensive attention away from Murphy, giving him extra freedom — I expect him to take advantage.

🏀Evan Mobley = 3.5+ Over Assists (Team - Cleveland Cavaliers) Mobley has recorded 4+ assists in 4 of 5 games this season, averaging 4.6 APG on 9.4 potential assists. He’s also had 4+ assists in three straight matchups vs the Raptors, averaging 5 APG on 7.3 potential assists. The Raptors allow the 2nd-most assists to opposing power forwards, and 4 of the last 5 PFs they faced have gone over their assist line. They also give up the 4th-most assists to the restricted area, which accounts for 17% of Mobley’s assists. When recording 7+ potential assists, Mobley hit 4+ assists in 73% of games last season, averaging 4.5 APG. 🏪 00:40 Saturday 📖 bet365 ODDS: 1.76