Understanding Flex Markets Fri, 10 Jul 26 - my Ai summary notes Why Flex Over Storage - Small bay flex serves small business owners directly, not just consumer storage needs - Growth of small businesses (especially those without W2 employees) and trade businesses is accelerating - Storage rates on 10x30 units now exceed 10x10 rates, with contractors renting multiple units across facilities: clear unmet demand - Rates in most markets went from under $10/sqft five years ago to high teens now, confirming supply/demand imbalance - No data aggregation equivalent to storage (FractIQ, Storedge, Yardi, etc.) means less oversaturation risk, but requires old-school research Picking a Market - Know exactly what you want to build before evaluating any market - Unit size matters: 1,200, 1,500, and 1,800 sqft are the target range - 30ft width is the limit for light gauge steel without switching to pre-engineered metal buildings (allows drive-in door + man door side by side) - Pre-engineered metal buildings offer more flexibility (e.g., opening up space for larger tenants) but are a different product - Boots on the ground are non-negotiable: visit existing facilities, talk to tenants, walk in and ask what they’re paying - CoStar/Crexi may show $13/sqft NNN; actual leases can be $23-24/sqft modified gross - Use a 20-mile drive time as the demographic trade area for service business tenants - Adjust for density: high-growth markets need fewer existing doors if pipeline multifamily is 20%+ growth - Two primary tenant types: trades and service companies - Brokers consistently say “that product doesn’t exist in our market” for 1,200-1,800 sqft units: a signal, not a deterrent - Cody Pain’s “World Engine Report” is the best data source for ground-up development - Free if you’re far enough along to send an LOI - Includes number of incorporated businesses in a trade area, which is hard to find elsewhere - Also offers feasibility studies useful for bank financing