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9 contributions to UE University
Maybe I'm Too Close? I Doubt It
The CTT trade appears to be playing out, with the TACO trade emerging as the obvious next move following Trump's relentless Sunday night social media posts preaching "Hell." With the Dow set to open nearly 1,000 points higher, it's clear that the credible threat strategy is working. Expect more of these late-night outbursts and over-the-top statements. I believe there’s a deliberate message delivery system designed for elites to decode. My conspiracy-oriented mind sees Trump’s messaging as intentionally delivered in either an “obnoxious” or “serious” tone—often making it hard to distinguish between the two. However, once you become aware of this possible system, it becomes easier to identify and anticipate the TACO trades. The real skill lies in reviewing everything with serious intent and a “credible threat” lens, then determining what the statements are truly meant to convey.
2 likes • 13d
It’s like WWF wrestling we all know it’s fake the wrestlers know we know it’s fake and yet we still watch and are entertained. Trump says something outrageous the markets react then trump backs down and gets a deal like magic.
Where are Mortgage Rates Headed?
Probably the biggest question (and problem) people will face will be the interest rate they get on their home loan. Predicting the future is a little easier with CTT. Here is an article talking about a recent increase in mortgage rates. The federal reserves "inflation fight" has many people communicating a "no need for lowering rates at this time" message. The 10yr U S. Treasuries can also predict these risks and concerns. Now using CTT, most likely we will see inflation in the broader economy if the conflicts continue or escalate. Most likely this will raise the neutral rate as a result. Michelle Bowman also gave a speech recently talking about easing the banking capital requirements, i can only imagine with the right communication and less banking restriction, this could make the housing market more available to qualified buyers. Essentially removing some of the restrictions that may have prevented them from issuing loans. More loans to offer, more competitive rates to offer as well. Listen for the narrative, not the strategy. Do not think about how the fed is trying to bring inflation down. Do not think about unemployment. Do not think about how the fed is going to adjust rates in the future. Although those things are important. You must think about what the narrative is saying. At the time of this writing I am finding just about every single news article reporting on a fed not lowering rates. Rates are rising as a result of the expectations. Last month the expectations were "tarrif removal would lower inflation pressure" , mortgage rates came down based on that belief. Remember that the federal reserve hasn't moved, just the people's expectations. Do not look at what the federal reserves next move will be, instead look to what the people believe the federal reserves next move will be. https://www-foxbusiness-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.foxbusiness.com/economy/mortgage-rates-march-12-2026.amp?amp_gsa=1&amp_js_v=a9&usqp=mq331AQGsAEggAID#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=17733981799058&csi=0&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&ampshare=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.foxbusiness.com%2Feconomy%2Fmortgage-rates-march-12-2026
1 like • Mar 13
There is no spoon
The Course Has Been Launched
The credible threat theory is now an official course. Go check it out in the classroom tab, let me know what you think. I have to admit the audio is better than the “beginners course” but still needs work.
1 like • Mar 12
Looking forward to the course but I seem to be locked out for some reason
2 likes • Mar 12
@Simon Caron thanks
The simple life
I’m a simple man and I like simple things. I like good food I like to work hard I like to learn new things and skills I like to save What are some of the simple things you like?
The simple life
2 likes • Jan 26
@John Mueller good one I love to grow food in the soil
1 like • Jan 27
@John Mueller chickens are the bomb
Gratitude
When have gratitude you're less likely to get angry. Spending each day at least a few minutes what you can be grateful for. You probably have a place to live. You don't have to walk and fetch water. Back in the old days water wasn't as easily accessible. You might attract something good in your life. I get discounts or something special at my local grocery store. When you have gratitude you might more likely to have an abundance mindset. I forgot i downloaded the information that Simon made available for free.
4 likes • Jan 26
So true having the mindset of gratitude is powerfully powerful
1-9 of 9
Matt Wills
3
23points to level up
@matthew-willis-8490
GM team Grow your wealth by SAVING in Bitcoin!

Active 5h ago
Joined Jan 19, 2026
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