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Profit NBA Analysis

319 members • $17/m

46 contributions to Profit NBA Analysis
SB bet slip
Mark Williams double double in his last couple of games ✅ Giannis with no true big should go over in reb and balls out when his up against the lakers.🚫 Coby white has bene playing great ball even tho giddey is back he should get more open looks🚫
SB bet slip
1 like • Mar 21
unlucky with giannis. No one played for lakers last night
MIA
I just checked on again. Wheres our robust NBA discussions gone?
2 likes • Mar 14
No clue. To be fair there is a paid group too I believe but I wouldn’t mind contributions and discussions here too like in the past.
4 more tips 28/2/25
J. Murray 19.5 Over Jamal owes us, and I think tonight is the perfect opportunity for him to deliver, as he has a favorable matchup against the Pistons. Yes, the Nuggets are on a back-to-back, but if they want to secure a win against a tricky home team, Jokic will need someone to step up, and as the second scoring option, Murray is our pick. The Pistons struggle to defend three-pointers, which is Murray’s strongest weapon. They also don’t defend the mid-range well, where he scores a lot, and they rank as the second-worst defense against PnR ball-handlers—an area where Murray thrives. Westbrook may rest in this back-to-back, but regardless, in a close game, I expect Murray to play 35+ minutes. He already torched the Pistons for 34 points earlier this season. Last night, he took 20 shots, which is great for this line, and with that usage rate, I see him much closer to the over against Detroit. Statistically, the Pistons rank 24th in defending opposing ball-handlers over the last 10 games, allowing an average of 28 PPG to them. Oddly enough, the Pistons are favored in this matchup, meaning it should be competitive, and I believe Murray gets 20+ points. Good luck. --- D. Bane 18.5 Over Bane is questionable, but since most sportsbooks are offering him, let’s assume he will play against the Knicks. This should be a fast-paced game, which suits him well, and the Knicks aren’t great at defending ATB3, his two strongest weapons, making him more likely to go over this line. In their only meeting this season, he finished with 16 points, but that was a blowout win for the Knicks, meaning he didn’t play his full minutes. Over his last nine games, he has surpassed this line seven times. In his last outing against the Suns, he played 43 minutes and scored 25 points. If this game stays competitive and he gets his usual minutes (averaging over 35 MPG in his last 10), I see him much closer to the over. Good luck. --- C.J. McCollum 21.5 Over CJ has a chance for a serious bounce-back game after struggling in the first half against the Suns last time, scoring just 5 points on 2/8 shooting. Interestingly, he finished that game with 19 points on 18 shot attempts. The fact that he has gone over this line in 19 of his last 25 games when taking 18+ shots speaks for itself.
0 likes • Feb 28
Isnt mccollum out?
Paul, Sabonis 21/2/25
🏀Chris Paul = 9.5+ Over Points (Team - San Antonio Spurs) This season, Chris Paul has cleared this line in 7/7 games without Wembanyama, taking 8+ FGA in all 7 games. Clearly, his floor without Wemby warrants a higher line. I do want to note that Fox was not on the team for 6/7 of those games. However, last night with Fox and without Wemby, CP3 still had 13 points on 10 FGA. Tonight CP3 faces the Pistons who have struggled against pull-up guards for the past two seasons. Detroit allows the 7th most points to PnR ball handlers as a result. Against bottom-10 PnR ball handler defenses, CP3 is over in 8/10 games with 28+ minutes. Lastly, CP3 is over in 13/15 games with 7+ FGA against bottom-15 PnR ball handler defenses. The only misses were games where CP3 shot 1/9 and 2/8. 🏪 02:40 Saturday 📖 bet365 ODDS: 1.85 🏀Domantas Sabonis = 19.5+ Over Rebounds+Assists (Team - Sacramento Kings) Backing Sabonis in this battle between California teams out west. In the first meeting at the end of January, he went over this line with 21 RA. The Warriors this season have allowed the 6th MOST rebounds and the 6th MOST assists to opposing Centers this season. Sabonis is averaging 36.1 minutes per game this season. Over the last 25 games with 32+ minutes, he is over this line in 20/25 (80%) games. We have a spread here of 2 points and a total of 237. Overall, love this process and this spot for Sabonis to clear this line in this one at home. 🏪 04:10 Saturday 📖 bet365 ODDS: 1.80
0 likes • Feb 21
Would you still take o20.5 for sabonis
Hali, Monk, Tatum 6/2/25
🏀Tyrese Haliburton = 8.5- Under Assists (Team - Indiana Pacers) Under 62% of games this season with Nembhard. Under 68% of games when away averaging only 11.8 potentials. Gets a tough matchup against the Clippers. They allow the 6th least amount of assists in the NBA and 7th least to PGs. 🏀Malik Monk = 10.5- Under Rebounds+Assists (Team - Sacramento Kings) With Lavine on the roster, Monk’s usage is going to gradually decrease. The Kings went heavy iso in their first game with Lavine vs the Magic. Their starters had just 12 assists. Now Monk has to face the Trail Blazers, who are the #1 defense in assists allowed the last month. They also give up the 3rd FEWEST rebounds to PGs in the L15 games. Monk has very little rebounding upside, going over 5+ rebounds in 28% of games this year, averaging 3.7 RPG. 🏀Jayson Tatum = 8.5- Under Rebounds (Team - Sacramento Kings) The rule with Tatum’s rebounding is “Target his over when the opposing team is top 15 in 3PA”. Tatum has been a much better rebounder off 3PA this year. When all 5 starters are active for Boston and they face a top 15 3PA team, Tatum has 8+ rebounds in 8/9 games averaging 10.5 rebounds and 15.6 chances. Those numbers take a nosedive the other way around When the starters face a bottom 15 3PA team, he’s under this line in 3/8 games averaging 8.1 rebounds and just 10.6 reb chances. Dallas had taken the 7th FEWEST threes in the NBA this season. Just 1 week ago, Tatum had just 6 rebounds on 10 rebound chances vs Dallas. Now with Anthony Davis making his debut, PJ Washington OUT, and Grimes traded, the Mavs should shoot their fewest threes in a game this season
0 likes • Feb 6
What do you think of brons assist line? Would you take the over
0 likes • Feb 7
Ye thanks i stayed away from it
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