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Profit NBA Analysis

319 members • $17/m

27 contributions to Profit NBA Analysis
MIA
I just checked on again. Wheres our robust NBA discussions gone?
3 likes • Mar 14
Yeah I aint paying for tips
0 likes • Mar 15
@Stevan S. Hope just busy mate and all is well?
4 more tips 28/2/25
J. Murray 19.5 Over Jamal owes us, and I think tonight is the perfect opportunity for him to deliver, as he has a favorable matchup against the Pistons. Yes, the Nuggets are on a back-to-back, but if they want to secure a win against a tricky home team, Jokic will need someone to step up, and as the second scoring option, Murray is our pick. The Pistons struggle to defend three-pointers, which is Murray’s strongest weapon. They also don’t defend the mid-range well, where he scores a lot, and they rank as the second-worst defense against PnR ball-handlers—an area where Murray thrives. Westbrook may rest in this back-to-back, but regardless, in a close game, I expect Murray to play 35+ minutes. He already torched the Pistons for 34 points earlier this season. Last night, he took 20 shots, which is great for this line, and with that usage rate, I see him much closer to the over against Detroit. Statistically, the Pistons rank 24th in defending opposing ball-handlers over the last 10 games, allowing an average of 28 PPG to them. Oddly enough, the Pistons are favored in this matchup, meaning it should be competitive, and I believe Murray gets 20+ points. Good luck. --- D. Bane 18.5 Over Bane is questionable, but since most sportsbooks are offering him, let’s assume he will play against the Knicks. This should be a fast-paced game, which suits him well, and the Knicks aren’t great at defending ATB3, his two strongest weapons, making him more likely to go over this line. In their only meeting this season, he finished with 16 points, but that was a blowout win for the Knicks, meaning he didn’t play his full minutes. Over his last nine games, he has surpassed this line seven times. In his last outing against the Suns, he played 43 minutes and scored 25 points. If this game stays competitive and he gets his usual minutes (averaging over 35 MPG in his last 10), I see him much closer to the over. Good luck. --- C.J. McCollum 21.5 Over CJ has a chance for a serious bounce-back game after struggling in the first half against the Suns last time, scoring just 5 points on 2/8 shooting. Interestingly, he finished that game with 19 points on 18 shot attempts. The fact that he has gone over this line in 19 of his last 25 games when taking 18+ shots speaks for itself.
0 likes • Feb 28
Mccollum out unfortunately. Woulda been a great spot
Leonard 23/2/25
🏀Kawhi Leonard = 2.5+ Over Assists (Team - Los Angeles Clippers) Kawhi just had 4 assists against the Pacers in this exact matchup two weeks ago. He’s over this line in 4/4 games this season when playing 30+ minutes and should clear it easily, especially since he’s averaging 7 potential assists per game in that span. He also had 7 potential assists against the Pacers in their last meeting. With 30+ minutes, he has hit this in 40 of his last 50 games and is 3/3 against the Pacers in that time. This is a must-play!
1 like • Feb 23
Kawhi out tonight
Paul, Sabonis 21/2/25
🏀Chris Paul = 9.5+ Over Points (Team - San Antonio Spurs) This season, Chris Paul has cleared this line in 7/7 games without Wembanyama, taking 8+ FGA in all 7 games. Clearly, his floor without Wemby warrants a higher line. I do want to note that Fox was not on the team for 6/7 of those games. However, last night with Fox and without Wemby, CP3 still had 13 points on 10 FGA. Tonight CP3 faces the Pistons who have struggled against pull-up guards for the past two seasons. Detroit allows the 7th most points to PnR ball handlers as a result. Against bottom-10 PnR ball handler defenses, CP3 is over in 8/10 games with 28+ minutes. Lastly, CP3 is over in 13/15 games with 7+ FGA against bottom-15 PnR ball handler defenses. The only misses were games where CP3 shot 1/9 and 2/8. 🏪 02:40 Saturday 📖 bet365 ODDS: 1.85 🏀Domantas Sabonis = 19.5+ Over Rebounds+Assists (Team - Sacramento Kings) Backing Sabonis in this battle between California teams out west. In the first meeting at the end of January, he went over this line with 21 RA. The Warriors this season have allowed the 6th MOST rebounds and the 6th MOST assists to opposing Centers this season. Sabonis is averaging 36.1 minutes per game this season. Over the last 25 games with 32+ minutes, he is over this line in 20/25 (80%) games. We have a spread here of 2 points and a total of 237. Overall, love this process and this spot for Sabonis to clear this line in this one at home. 🏪 04:10 Saturday 📖 bet365 ODDS: 1.80
1 like • Feb 21
Hopefully old boy Paul has legs in a b2b lol
3 tips 20/2/25
🏀Onyeka Okongwu = 25.5- Under Points+Rebounds+Assists (Team - Atlanta Hawks) The Magic allow the Fewest PRA to Centers. With Clint Capela healthy and Hawks recent trades, Okongwu’s volume takes a hit, making him soar under this line. Okongwu will be playing into a tough match up + limited opportunity with the Hawks’ recent changes moving forward. 🏪 01:40 Friday 📖 bet365 ODDS: 1.76 🏀Jayson Tatum = 13.5+ Over Rebounds+Assists (Team - Boston Celtics) This line is too low for what has been a system play for us when Embiid is on the floor. Tatum has gone over in 15 of 16 games when Embiid is active since his presence stretches the opposing center out, allowing Tatum to clean up the glass. Last game against the Sixers, he had 15 rebounds and 12 potential assists. The Sixers are bottom 10 in both assists and rebounds allowed to forwards this season, and when facing bottom 10 assist-allowing teams, Tatum has cleared this line in over 70% of his games. With the spread at only 6.5, this should stay competitive, giving us full minutes. Let's cash in! 🏪 01:10 Friday 📖 bet365 ODDS: 1.86 🏀Andrew Nembhard = 7.5+ Over Rebounds+Assists (Team - Indiana Pacers) Earlier this season he had 6 RA on 11 RA Chances in 15 minutes before suffering an injury in the 1st half. He also guards Ja Morant. While normally guarding the ball-dominant player pulls guys away from the basket, Ja loves to drive and dime. This means that if there is a shot directly off of his pass, Nembhard's got feet in the paint already and is in rebounding position. Nembhard has been amazing in this matchup in games past averaging 22.8 RA chances per 36 and 10.5 RA per 36 in his previous 5 matches. 🏪 01:10 Friday 📖 bet365 ODDS: 1.86
0 likes • Feb 20
Its good to have it back to punt on again lol. Feels months lol
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Chris Golding
2
5points to level up
@chris-golding-1012
Just a guy loving sports and a punt

Active 176d ago
Joined Nov 30, 2024