📈 Market Recap – September 23, 2025
🔍 5 & 15-Minute Chart Analysis The market opened at all-time highs, consolidating in a 50-point range between $25,025–$24,975. Selling showed up immediately on the 15-minute candle, breaking 24,975 and dropping to 24,933—a 70-point slide. From 8:00–10:15 a.m., price chopped sideways with three failed pushes higher. The 8 SMA rejected each attempt, and by 11:15 sellers broke the low again, driving price to 24,790. That level held until 1:15 p.m., when buyers pushed back toward the 20 SMA. On the 5-minute, price rejected off the 20 SMA at 10:50, broke below the 8, retested the daily low, and sold off. From 24,950, we saw 11 consecutive red bars before support finally formed at 24,700. A textbook power-trend decline. ⏱️ 2-Minute Chart Analysis The 2-minute chart showed sharp structure. At 7:36 a.m., price tested the ORB high at 25,010, then dropped 60 points in 10 minutes to 24,950. After a weak bounce, price rolled over again, bottoming at 24,936. From there, it consolidated in a tight 30-point range (24,936–24,965). The inability to reclaim the 8 SMA was a clear signal that strength just wasn’t there for longs. 🎯 Trade Review My plan: look for longs on pullbacks. Here’s how it played out: - ✅ First Long (7:34–7:35) – Entered early, but moved my stop up right away. Trade failed, small loss. - ❌ Second Long (24,950) – Stopped out by a tick. Frustrating, but kept risk tight. - ⚠️ Third Long (re-entry) – Entered too high. Stops managed fine, but better shorts off the 20 SMA were ignored. - 🚀 Final Long (8:05 double-bottom) – Could have been the best trade. I recongnized the consolidation and got in at the low, but only Caught the start and end of the move, missed the middle. After consolidation returned, I called it a day early—choosing family time 👨👧👦 over forcing trades. 💡 Lessons & Takeaways - 🎯 Don’t get stuck on bias. Long-only thinking caused me to miss clean short setups. - 🛡️ Risk management works. Tight stops kept losses small, even on failed trades. - 🔄 Structure matters. Double-bottoms delivered again—simple but reliable. - ⚖️ Trading = freedom. Logging off early reminded me why I trade: more time with my kids.