My 2026 intelligence Brief
I have just uploaded my full 2026 Intelligence Brief, which outlines the four major forces that I believe will shape the coming year and set the stage for the Turbulent Decade ahead.
This report is not another collection of hype or sensational predictions. I have deliberately avoided the “everything changes in 12 months” narrative that dominates social media. Instead, I focus on the deeper structural trends that can actually be measured, that compound over time, and that leaders can strategically prepare for.
The four pillars are:
AI
How efficiency, error reduction, and the widening implementation gap will reshape the labour market and competitive dynamics in 2026.
Longevity
Why a cultural shift in how we view health, aging, and human potential may be as important as any scientific breakthrough.
Autonomous Cars
How exposure, not technology, is the missing ingredient—and why 2026 is the year millions will experience driverless movement for the first time.
The Trust Recession
Why generative AI will both unlock creative abundance and erode our shared sense of reality, and how this will influence politics, media, and society.
This brief is meant to give you clarity, perspective, and an early advantage.
If you understand why these pillars matter and how they interact, you will be better positioned for the opportunities and risks of the coming decade.
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments, challenge assumptions, or ask questions. I will be active here and happy to dive deeper into any of the themes.
Here is the full report. I hope it serves you well.
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Daniel Käfer
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My 2026 intelligence Brief
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