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USDCAD - LONG
USDCAD Trade Breakdown (Targeting 1:3 RR) Currently, I’m targeting a 1:3 risk-to-reward setup on USDCAD, with both an aggressive and a conservative entry model in play. USDCAD is showing overall bullish market structure. During the Frankfurt Open, price swept liquidity to the downside, taking out sell-side liquidity before shifting direction with strong bullish intent. This move resulted in a clear Break of Structure (BOS), confirming the shift in order flow. Following the BOS, price retraced back into the origin of the move, effectively retesting the break of structure area. This pullback aligned with a Point of Interest (POI), where price also moved to mitigate a weak supply zone, creating a form of SMT divergence and trapping sellers who entered prematurely. Once price completed the break and retest into the POI, bullish momentum stepped back in, confirming continuation and providing entry opportunities. Entry Models: - Aggressive Entry:The aggressive entry was placed at the market structure low within the break and retest zone. This entry anticipates the reaction from the POI without waiting for full confirmation, allowing for optimal positioning and a higher RR.Target: 1:3 RR - Conservative Entry:The conservative entry was taken after confirmation, once price showed strong bullish intent and printed a secondary BOS to the upside. This provides additional confirmation at the cost of slightly reduced RR.Target: 1:2.5 RR Key Takeaways: - Liquidity sweep → BOS → retracement into POI - Seller trap formed via mitigation + SMT concept - Entry refinement based on confirmation vs anticipation - Clear bullish continuation framework
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USDCAD - LONG
Silver Trade - Break Down
Silver Trade Breakdown (23rd March) We came into today with a clear bearish bias. As I mentioned in the Gold weekly roadmap, I had specific areas mapped out where I wanted to see price deliver into before considering any move back to the upside. However, this is exactly why we react to price rather than predict it. Market Shift & Inducement - On Silver, we saw a major inducement form, followed by a mitigation of a demand zone, which led to a strong 2-leg bullish push on the 15-minute timeframe. This type of price action is important because it signals intent — in this case, it showed that price was likely transitioning into a bullish phase, despite the initial bearish outlook. After the bullish expansion, price began reacting around the Asia high supply, where we saw: - Sellers getting trapped - Liquidity being taken to the downside - A sharp move back up, breaking above the Asia high This break and continuation effectively confirmed the S2D bullish zone. Entry Logic Following the break of structure (BOS) above the Asia high, price pulled back into the BOS area — a classic retest — before continuing higher. At the same time, we saw: - A Smart Money Trap (SMT) around previous supply - Further seller inducement - A push down into my POI (S2D zone) This created the ideal conditions for a continuation long. Execution This was a slightly more aggressive entry, even though the overall framework remained conservative. Instead of placing a limit order, I waited for confirmation that price still had bullish intent. We could clearly see: - Downside inducement - Strong reaction - Momentum building back to the upside That was the trigger. Risk Management & Outcome - Stop loss placed below the low - Took 50% partials at 1:3 RR - Moved stop loss to break-even (BE) at the first external high ✅ Result: - +1.5% locked in - Remaining position protected at break-even Key Takeaway Even though the initial bias was bearish, the market showed clear signs of bullish intent through structure, inducement, and momentum.
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Silver Trade - Break Down
Patience Pays
USDCAD – Trade Recap 🇺🇸🇨🇦 This was the trade idea shared earlier this morning. During the London session, price action offered nothing of interest — no clean structure, no confirmation, and no reason to force an entry. However, as we approached the New York Key Time Window (KTW), the market delivered. We saw a Smart Money Trap (SMT) form, followed by mitigation that trapped buyers and shifted momentum lower. That move aligned perfectly with our narrative of price delivering into the marked Break and Test (B&T) and IFC supply zone. Initially, placing the limit at the B&T would have resulted in a stop loss larger than I was comfortable with. Instead, I refined risk by setting the limit at the mitigation of the IFC supply and positioning the stop above that zone. After entry, price action was slow and required patience — but the structure remained intact, and the trade played out as anticipated. Trade Details - Entry: 1.36868 - Stop Loss: 1.36955 (8.7 pips) - Take Profit: 1.36435 (43 pips) Result: Another clean 1:5 RR on USDCAD this week.✅ Disciplined execution.Patience during London.Precision during New York KTW. No forcing — just waiting for the market to show its hand.🏦
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Patience Pays
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