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BDAY VS MSTE
Can anyone explain why Gary prefers BDAY over MSTE now ? Why the switch - just curious. I watched the video but wasnt able to put my finger on it.
Jun 11 • 
Bitcoin
What am I doing with MSTE?
Quick disclaimer before diving in: this plan is a rough outline and subject to change at any time. If we see massive positive momentum, I could easily move Tranche 1 to $18 per share, or I might just decide to never sell a single share until a brand new all time high is created years from now. TRANCHES I AM BUYING IN: $4.00 — Complete $3.75 — Complete $3.50 — Complete $3.25 — Complete $3.00 — Complete $2.75 — Complete $2.50 — Complete $2.25 — Complete $2.00 — Complete (As of June 24th 2026) $1.75 — Complete (As of June 25th 2026) $1.50 — Waiting (~75% chance) : Updated June 24th 2026 $1.25 — Waiting (~60% chance) : Updated June 24th 2026 $1.00 — Waiting (~50% chance) : Added June 25th 2026 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The Current Strategy: June 23rd 2026 In the worst case scenario where the price gets completely stuck for years? No sweat. I still collect those distributions and use them to aggressively build out my other positions. Here is the step by step breakdown of the current playbook. Step 1: The Accumulation Phase All monthly distributions are being completely dollar cost averaged back into MSTE until October. If the price stays below $4, I will likely extend this DCA phase through December to keep loading up. Step 2: The Pivot to Core Income Starting in November (if the market recovers) or December, I will shift my distributions away from MSTE and split them across four core positions. - HYLD: 50% (Return of Capital Heavy) - QDAY: 20% (Return of Capital Heavy) - CDAY: 20% (Return of Capital Heavy) - XEQT: 10% (My glorified savings account) Note: This is just my starting lineup. I will absolutely be adding other positions to this list as time goes on. Step 3: The Exit Strategy I will continue holding my core MSTE position and watch to see if the Bitcoin 4 year cycle plays out again. Scenario A: The 4 Year Cycle Repeats I will sell 50% of my total position near the macro cycle top.
Bitcoin hit it's 200W SMA...is the bottom in?
The day I've been waiting for since the bear market started last year finally happened, BTC hit its 200W SMA. Every past bear market has found its bottom when price touched this red line. So are we in the clear? My honest take: no. I think we test $60K this month, and possibly drop as low as $55K. Here's how I see the range playing out between now and October: Worst case: $40K–$50K Best case: $55K–$60K Some analysts are calling for as low as $40K in October. That's not my base case, but my personal buying window is currently between $55K and ~$62K (the 200W SMA). MSTE — My Tranche Strategy (Not Financial Advice) I've been buying in tranches, and I never add to a tranche once it's hit my allocated budget, I am using new capital not distribution to buy tranches - for distributions, I keep buying MSTE until I am above my avg price per share: Each tranches $ invested amount is larger and larger, my $4 tranche has far less invested then my recent $2.75, so my avg price per share is quite low now. and REMEBER THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, DO NOT, I REPEAT, DO NOT COPY ANYTHING I AM DOING! I am investing into the highest risk asset right now, the only asset losing money while everything else is booming, so DO NOT COPY TRADE THIS, this all could be a horrible investment! Now, here's what I've been up to: $4.00 — Complete $3.75 — Complete $3.50 — Complete $3.25 — Complete $3.00 — Complete $2.75 — Complete $2.50 — Complete (As of June 5th 2026) $2.25 — Complete (As of June 23rd 2026) $2.00 — Waiting (~70% chance) : Updated from 50% as of June 23rd 2026 $1.75 — Waiting (~50% chance) : Added June 23rd 2026 $1.50 — Waiting (~30% chance) : Added June 23rd 2026 In short, this is going to be a rough June, possibly slight recovery into Summer, then a possible crash in October. Or a massive crash this month, maybe going into July and then a slow recovery begins. In the end who knows, all I know is BTC finally hit the red line, so we are within 10-20% of the bottom in a best case scenario.
Bitcoin hit it's 200W SMA...is the bottom in?
May 19 • 
Bitcoin
Bitcoin & S&P 500 Could Be DOOMED in October 2026 ft. Benjamin Cowen
I just spoke with Benjamin Cowen, probably the most respected bitcoin analyst online. He breaks down bitcoin and the S&P 500 for this year. It's a MUST WATCH!
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