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I’m dropping SUI from the watchlist and adding MONAD. In the beginning of a bull run you need to understand 2 things: - look for the tokens who show real strength - Don’t stay attach for the coins who should show strength SUI is a valuable project, but on shorter term (this year), we need to watch closely not only the crypto projects that are solid but also how what the chart is telling us. I will split the crypto portfolio in 2 parts: 1. A macro crypto compass (for passive long term holdings) 2. A tactical (active) allocation More on this in the next days. (see previous post: https://www.skool.com/swiss-islamic-finance-1703/six-tokens-im-positioned-on-and-why-the-thesis-is-converging?p=21851e7a)

Not sure why, but HYPE is the last man standing Solid fundamentals and tokenomics I guess. Guess what, he’s in our portfolio.

this is exactly what we warned about. SOL was the weakest of the majors, and price just lost its line in the sand. HTF support around 95–100 failed no sustained bounce, no reclaim weekly structure now clearly bearish once that level goes, the chart opens up fast. 78: first real downside magnet 51: macro support if sell pressure accelerates these aren’t predictions. they’re untested demand zones below. Why this matters strong coins defend support and push away, weak coins hover, grind, then break. SOL did the latter. longs here are counter-trend any bounce = relief rally until proven otherwise real strength only returns if price can reclaim 95–100 and hold until then: respect the downtrend let lower levels come to you capital preservation > opinions

price is still sitting on the same HTF support (~100–105). nothing new has broken yet. this is still a reaction zone, not confirmation sellers already did most of the damage last week downside momentum is slowing, but structure is still bearish If you entered, keep the 5% stop. no widening. your trade thesis is simple: support holds and then reaction if it doesn’t bounce, you’re wrong. exit clean. If you didn’t enter don’t chase green candles. Either wait for a daily bullish engulfing / strong reclaim or wait for a flush + reclaim if support wicks first Hold: 100–105 Failure: clean acceptance below 100 Bounce targets: 116 to 130 If 100 breaks: next real zones are 95: high 70s Big picture reminder this is a counter-trend support play. risk small, expectations smaller.