Module 1: Thinking in Probabilities

Module 2: Finding the Mispricing

Module 3: Trading Like A Professional.

Module 4: The Heat Files: Worked Case Studies

The playbook on one page. Tape it to your monitor.

The Trade Log is where members enter trades in the blue columns — date, platform, market, side, entry price, contracts, their probability estimate, thesis, and status — with dropdowns for platform, side, status, and the four-way postmortem classification. Edge/EV per contract and P&L calculate automatically, and row 2 ships with a worked example to overwrite.

Helpful calculator for assessing EV plays.