Our premium 30-part visual framework designed to help traders understand prediction markets beyond the surface. Learn probability, fair value, expected value, research, market structure, execution, risk management, calibration, and more—all through a clear, repeatable process.

Module 1: Thinking in Probabilities

Module 2: Finding the Mispricing

Module 3: Trading Like A Professional.

Module 4: The Heat Files: Worked Case Studies

The playbook on one page. Tape it to your monitor.

The Trade Log is where members enter trades in the blue columns — date, platform, market, side, entry price, contracts, their probability estimate, thesis, and status — with dropdowns for platform, side, status, and the four-way postmortem classification. Edge/EV per contract and P&L calculate automatically, and row 2 ships with a worked example to overwrite.

Helpful calculator for assessing EV plays.

Helpful post on what to look for and what to avoid when wagering on Major League Baseball games and props.

Helpful PDF for understanding the prediction markets.

Helpful infographic showing the variables making up a market.

Quick PDF for memorizing probability calculations.

Helpful PDF for determining where edge hides inside the prediction markets.

Helpful tips and analysis of the tennis markets and how to hunt edge with the PredictionHEAT scanners.

An extensive breakdown of how the PredictionHEAT scanner works and how to use it to find edge in the prediction markets.