Dec '24 • Tips
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01:00 - Allen J. (CLE) +13.5 / Over (1.90)
✍️ Analysis:
We’re betting on Jarrett Allen to score over the points line in this matchup against the Wizards, where I expect an excellent performance from Cleveland’s center. Last time we bet on him against Washington, he disappointed us, taking only six shots and staying under the line against the weakest defense. That won’t happen again tonight.
Evan Mobley is questionable for the Cavs, but there’s a good chance they won’t risk him in such an easy home game. If Mobley doesn’t play, this is an easy win because Allen has scored 14+ points in 9 of 10 games without Mobley. Even with Mobley, Allen has been great, scoring 13+ points in 11 of 15 games, averaging 15.5 points per game.
Tonight, Allen has the perfect matchup because the Wizards are the worst team at defending the center position and pick-and-roll actions, which Allen relies on for most of his scoring. Seventy-five percent of Allen’s points come in the restricted area, where the Wizards allow the third-most points in the league.
Allen hasn’t scored 14+ points in six consecutive games, so I expect a strong bounce-back performance tonight. Before this recent slump, he was putting up great numbers (17, 23, 16, 21, 24).
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