C.Paul 8.5 Points Over
Chris Paul’s last game ended abruptly due to an early ejection, so he’ll likely be extra motivated tonight. The matchup suits him since Minnesota’s Rudy Gobert tends to drop on pick-and-rolls, leaving Paul space in the mid-range—an area where the veteran point guard thrives. The Timberwolves’ defense is not particularly strong at defending shots from that zone, and they also allow a decent number of points to pick-and-roll ball-handlers. With the Spurs missing key players like Keldon Johnson and Tre Jones, Paul should have more offensive opportunities. This line is set quite low considering that he’s gone over it in 17 of his last 23 games this season. He dropped 15 points in their previous encounter, and if all goes as expected, reaching 9 or more tonight should be very achievable. Good luck.