Prediction on point · Jarvis AI

Prediction on point

Good Evening Jarvisians,

Let’s talk about what happened today — because the SPXEM model delivered again.

What we predicted at 8:30 AM (pre-market):

• Expected Move: ±105.19 points

• EM Upper Bound: 6,697.37

• EM Lower Bound: 6,486.99

• Bias: Skewed toward the lower bound (Iran rejection + GDP miss)

What actually happened:

• SPX Closed: 6,477.16 (-114.74 / -1.74%)

• Day’s Low: 6,473.79

• VIX surged to 27.44 (+8.33%)

The scorecard:

• Move size accuracy: 91% (predicted ±105 pts, actual -115 pts)

• Lower bound accuracy: ~10 points off (predicted 6,486.99, actual close 6,477.16)

• Directional bias: CORRECT — we called the bearish skew

This is what data-driven analysis looks like. No guessing. No hype. Just math.

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