Key Macro Data December 12th

1) Key economic releases / central bank events that could impact sentiment today

• U.S. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 am ET) — reports on new unemployment claims; markets watch for labor trends vs consensus.

• U.S. International Trade Balance (8:30 am ET) — impacts GDP components and USD sentiment.

• Treasury Auctions (various maturities intraday) — influence bond yields and liquidity.

• Federal Reserve Policy Context — The Fed has cut rates to 3.50 %–3.75 % recently and signaled a pause in future cuts amid internal dissent and absent data from recent closures, which continues to be a driver for rates and equities.

• Global central bank focus — Germany’s 10-year yields hit a nine-month high amid speculation about ECB policy direction.

No major scheduled central bank rate decisions today, but global bond markets are pricing policy expectations that can move FX and equity futures.

2) Major global markets performance overnight

I cannot fetch live futures or overnight Asia/Europe performance in this setup, but broad news suggests:

• European yields rising (Germany 10-yr yield near multi-month highs) reflects tilt away from easing expectations, which typically pressures European equities.

• Asian performance data are not currently available; market participants will likely follow bond market cues and carry into European session.

To provide actual overnight indices/futures price moves, a live futures data source (Bloomberg/Reuters real-time feed) would be required.

3) Pre-market movement in key stocks (e.g., Tesla)

Pre-market pricing for specific equities including Tesla is outside of the current web results; a live markets feed is required for up-to-the-minute pre-market gaps. If you provide your watchlist tickers, I can fetch real-time pre-market moves.

4) Significant news headlines / earnings / geopolitical developments

• Fed rate cut narrative and internal split has market impact on sentiment and yields.

• Global trade / geopolitical news — tension in Southeast Asia (Thailand/Cambodia), Philippines central bank rate cut, and shifts in global risk appetite.

• Tariff and trade policy updates — ongoing U.S. tariff discussions with Indonesia, Mexico, China; tariff policy influences specific sectors and currency sentiment.

• Earnings flow — no major S&P 500 heavyweights reported today in the available news feed; check your earnings calendar for specific names.

5) Key technical levels and indicators

Current RSI, MACD, support/resistance levels for indices and stocks require live price data. Provide the specific symbols and your chart timeframe (e.g., daily/60-min), and I will generate technical levels.

6) Unusual options activity

This requires an options flow scanner (e.g., LiveVol, ORATS, FlowAlgo). The provided search results do not include unusual options volume or sentiment data. If you specify names, I can check available options interest summaries.

7) Overall market sentiment / fear gauges

• VIX behavior and actual fear gauges are not in this news feed; generally, the market has responded positively to the Fed’s recent rate cut and the outlook, though divergences in policy expectations can add volatility.

• Rising government bond yields in Europe can weigh on risk sentiment.

8) Sector rotations or shifts affecting tech like Tesla

No specific sector rotation reports surfaced. In general, “rate-sensitive” sectors (tech, growth) can outperform when market pricing shifts toward more easing; bond yields rising could rotate toward value cyclicals. Verify with live sector ETF flows (e.g., XLK vs XLF).

9) Risk management context for today

Given scheduled macro data and central bank sentiment dynamics, manage risk around: pre-data bid/offer volatility, Fed narrative continuation, and cross-asset moves tied to bond yields. Explicit stop-loss and position sizing should align with your strategies and risk tolerance.

10) Primary trading plan / thesis today

Focus on reactions to jobless claims and trade balance. If data significantly beats/misses consensus, markets could gap on U.S. open. With the Fed narrative transitioning to a pause, market may price growth vs inflation uncertainty.

Is Trump speaking today and at what time?

There are no verified published schedule entries for a Trump speech today, Dec 11, 2025 in the current economic calendars and news feeds. Recent speeches occurred earlier in the week (e.g., Pennsylvania rally on Dec 9).

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