THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL Rams @ Seahawks Preview & Picks (WEEK 16)
Let’s start with the total. Total Pick: UNDER 44/44.5 At first glance, the Rams’ recent OVER trends jump off the page. They’ve gone OVER in four of their last six games and have been efficient offensively, especially on the road. Seattle also has the ability to score at home, which is why this number hasn’t dipped lower. However, the head-to-head history tells a different story. Key total trends: - Seattle has gone UNDER in 5 of the last 6 games vs the Rams - Divisional matchups in December often slow down - Both defenses prioritize limiting explosive plays This matchup tends to be about field position and red-zone execution rather than shootouts. While the OVER case exists, the more reliable angle is a controlled, lower-scoring game. That’s why the UNDER is the lean, though not a max-confidence play. Confidence: Medium Top Play of the Night: Seahawks -1.5 Now to the side — and this is where the stronger conviction sits. The Rams deserve respect. They’re 7-2 ATS in their last nine games, 11-2 ATS on the road, and have historically dominated Seattle ATS, including 5-0 ATS in their last five trips to Seattle. But straight-up results and situational context matter here. Key side trends: - Seattle is 8-1 straight up in its last nine games - Seahawks are 5-1 SU in their last six home games - This is a must-win spot for Seattle in the division race At some point, matchup trends collide with urgency, and this feels like a spot where Seattle’s home-field advantage and defensive intensity finally swing the result. The number is short for a reason, and Seattle simply needs this game more right now. That’s why Seahawks -1.5 is the Top Play of the Night. Confidence: Medium-High